5th International Conference on Oil and Gas Depletion
Posted by Chris Vernon on June 21, 2006 - 4:31pm in The Oil Drum: Europe
The Association for the Study of Peak Oil & Gas (ASPO) will hold their fifth annual conference on oil and gas depletion on July 18-19 2006 in Pisa, Italy.
The reason for this post to two-fold, firstly to raise awareness of what promises to be one of the most important peak oil events of the year and secondly to allow any other Oil Drum members who are attending to make themselves known so we can meet up in person. I'll be there from the morning of Monday 17th, leaving on Thursday 20th, who else is coming?
The official conference site is here: ASPO Italia
Full provisional programme below.
The material from last years conference in Lisbon, Portugal is available here: 4th International Conference on Oil and Gas Depletion
18-19 July 2006 - San Rossore, Pisa
Monday, 17 July
All day: ASPO Committees meetings, Grand Hotel Duomo
14:30-18:00 Registration - Grand Hotel Duomo - Via S.Maria, 94 - PISA
18:00 - Reception offered by the Mayor of Pisa, City Hall, Pisa
18:30 - Projection of the film "The Power of Community" (City Hall, Pisa) (limited seats available)
Tuesday 18, Parco di San Rossore - Pisa
MAIN SESSION (1st tent)
8:30-9:30 Registration
9:30 Ugo Bardi (ASPO-Italy), Introduction to the conference
9:45 Marino Artusa (environment ministry of the Tuscan Region) Welcome address
10:00- 10:40 Colin Campbell (ASPO Honorary Chairman) - Keynote speech; The Age of Oil in Perspective
10:40-11:00- coffee break
1st session: PEAK OIL I
11:00-11:30 Kjell Aleklett (President, ASPO international), A world addicted to Oil, it is time to Sober up
11:30-12:00 Richard Heinberg, (New College of California; Post Carbon Institute) The Oil Depletion Protocol: A Plan to Avert Oil Wars, Terrorism, and Economic Collapse
12:00 - 12:30 Chris Skrebowski (ODAC and Petroleum Review), Peak Oil - the Emerging Reality
12:30-13:00 Robert Hirsch (Science Applications International Corp.) Mitigation of Peak Oil - More Numbers
13:00 - 14:00 lunch
2nd session: PEAK OIL II
14:10 - 14:50 Leonardo Maugeri (ENI) Title to be announced- Keynote Speech
14:50 - 15:20 Jean Laherrere (ASPO-France), Uncertainty on data and forecasts
15:20 - 15:45 Pierre René Bauquis (ASPO-France) What future for hydrocarbons with the incoming peaks of oil and gas?
15:45 - 16:10 Jean Marie Bourdaire (ASPO-France) World Energy and Economy: What perspectives to 2050?
3rd session: GAS AND COAL
16:10 - 16:40 Peter Gerling (BGR, Federal Institute for Geosciences and Natural Resources, Germany), Coal - the prime energy of the future?
16:40 -17:10 Francesco Racheli (GE - Oil and Gas), Technology evolution to monetize 'stranded GAS'
17:10 -17:30 Marek Kolodzej, (University of Illinois) The North American Natural Gas Crisis
17:30 - snack and drinks
17: 30 - 19:30 POSTER SESSION
20:00 - social dinner -
Wednesday 19 July
4th session MODELLING
9:00 - 9:40 Dennis Meadows, (Laboratory for Interactive Learning Durham, NH, USA)- Keynote speech, Peak oil and the limits to growth
9:40-10:10 Charles Hall (State University of New York) EROI: The Key Variable in Assessing Alternative Energy Futures
10:10-10:40 Renato Guseo, University of Padova. World Oil Depletion: Diffusion Models, Price Effects, Strategic and Technological Interventions
10:40 -10:55 Anton Trijssenaar (Independent Expert) Jeu de Joule: a world energy model based on system dynamic concepts
10:55 -11:10 Bertrand Michel (Institut Francais du Petrole) Oil Production : A probabilistic model of Hubbert's curve
11:10-11:20- coffee break
5th session ECONOMICS AND MARKETS
11:20 - 11:50 Mamdouh G. Salameh, (Oil Market Consultancy Service/World Bank) Peak Oil and the Rising Crude Oil Prices
11:50 - 12:20 Andrew McKillop (Ecohabitat, and Pakistan Wind Energy Programme), The impossibility of "market solutions" to Peak Oil, the emerging financial, monetary and economic crisis, and Energy Transition
12:20 - 12:40 Luca Barillaro (Compendium Consulting), New financial products: their impact on energy markets
12:40 -14:00 lunch
Afternoon 19th
6th session GLOBAL ISSUES I
14:00-14:40 Jeremy Leggett: (SolarCentury), Keynote Speech Peak oil, climate change, and the daunting arithmetic of carbon fuels.
14:40-15:10 Paul Metz (Integer Consult), Peak Oil and Corporate Social Responsibility - CSR
15:10-15:40 Robert Hopkins (Transition Culture) Plan B - enabling relocalisation as a response to peak oil
15:40- 16:10 Folke Gunther (Holon Ecosystem Consultants) Oil depletion and food depletion
7th session GLOBAL ISSUES II
16:20-16:50 Marcello Colitti (Independent Expert) The New Priority of the Oil Companies
16:50-17:20 Terence Ward, (Independent Expert) Iran and the US - Confrontation, Oil Disruption and the Impact
17:20-17:50 Chris Sanders, (Sanders Research associates) NATO: Out of Area and Out of Oil - the war for energy and the end of free markets
18:00-18:30 - Conclusion and Final Remarks
_______________
PARALLEL SESSIONS (2nd tent)
8th session PANEL ON POST PEAK ISSUES
Tuesday 18, 15:00-17:30
Folke Gunther
Bob Hopkins
Faith Morgan
Richard Heimberg...
9th session ASPO SHOW
Wednesday 19th 10:00-12:30
Public presentation of national ASPO associations
Kjell Aleklett (ASPO International) - Keynote
Dick Lawrence (ASPO USA)
Luca Mercalli (ASPO Italy)
Hirose/Okubo (ASPO Japan)
Bruce Robinson (ASPO Australia)
...... (ASPO China)
........ (ASPO Norway)
.......... (ASPO Indonesia)
I met with one of the directors of ODAC last week, he's also going so that makes at least 2 of us from the Aberdeen area.
Contrasting last year vs. Pisa is that there will be many tracks on mitigation and response.
I don't know how this conference could possibly be better than last year but I have a feeling that I'm going to find that out in July.
Richard Katz
NZ current account deficit much worse than expected (from oil imports and asset sales to foreign banks and energy Co.s) so the NZ$ tanks and they pay even more for oil.
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/section/story.cfm?c_id=3&ObjectID=10387826
Continued power cuts from two big, back to back late fall storms.
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/section/story.cfm?c_id=1&ObjectID=10387780
Driving around most of NZ a couple of months ago (guilty!), I was struck by the vulnerability to oil shocks. South Island especially given the larger distances between towns. We should see Powerdown progressing soon at this rate, intentional not weather related, in a socially advanced country that is tapping a lot of hydro and some geothermal but has no provision for expensive petrol except to raise prices over and over again. Yikes, a test case! Last week the government reported that their petrol tax revenues are being undermined as Kiwis drive less.
http://www.smh.com.au/news/business/oil-import-bill-rockets-to-23b/2006/06/19/1150701476426.html
"Australia's single biggest monthly bill for imported oil is threatening to blow-out the nation's trade deficit as well as inflict even more pain on motorists. Two billion litres of petroleum products, worth more than AUS$2.3 billion, were brought into the country during May - some $500 million more than April."
Does anybody else think that logo is, ehm... odd? Tilt your head to the left.
Naughty Italians.
And yes, it's fabled that it'll go limp if a virgin ever graduates from E. Michigan U.
...I heard the same thing will happen to the ASPO-5 logo if Megan Quinn ever renounces peak oil.....;-)
(sorry, how could I resist a punch line like that.....!
Roger Conner known to you as ThatsItImout
By the way, on the 4th Workshop don't forget you can buy the DVD through ASPO-Portugal, and watch the digest here.
Why not meet on Monday at the City Hall, before the reception of the mayor starts? That is, at 17:45 at the entrance of the City Hall? We should be punctual to catch seats. Does that sound reasonable?
Anyway till the 17th of July there is time.
One more thing, on Sunday the 16th of July its the The Luminara of Saint Ranieri.
All the city will be lit with candles, I've never seen it but it sounds awesome. I can't make it though.
Sorry :-(
We could also make other appointments for Tuesday and Wednesday. And maybe a list of oil drummers present. What you think?
Chris Vernon
zceb90
ricardogatos
Peaknik
Roberto
lads
First Meeting: Monday 17H45 by the City Hall entrance.
Dick Lawrence
ASPO-USA
Chris Vernon
zceb90
ricardogatos = Richard Katz, San Francisco, CA USA
Peaknik = Daniel Gómez, Spain
Roberto
lads
DickLawrence = Dick Lawrence, Hudson, MA USA
First Meeting: Monday 17H45 by the City Hall entrance.
ASPO-V is part of my big move from Aberdeen and the UK oil industry back to Melbourne Oz.
The Monday meet-up might be tricky but will join other days.
cheers!
Phil Hart
www.philhart.com
I'll be there too with my crew, looking forward to seeing you.. Where are you all staying?
Andrew Evans
Chris B
List of Oil Drummers @ ASPO 5 (so far):
Chris Vernon ?
zceb90 ?
ricardogatos = Richard Katz (US) - Hotel Duomo
Peaknik = Daniel Gómez (Spain) ?
Roberto ?
lads ?
DickLawrence = Dick Lawrence (US) ?
Registration on the Monday is 2-6pm near the tower at:
Grand Hotel Duomo, 94 Via Santa Maria.
Followed by the reception 6pm at City Hall:
Palazzo Gambacorti
Looking forward to meeting people on the steps of City Hall around 17:45.
Email me for my phone number: chris@vitaltrivia.co.uk
I'm arriving that morning so I'll be registering at Hotel Duomo sometime early afternoon.
See ye all then!
Chris Vernon
zceb90
ricardogatos = Richard Katz, San Francisco, CA USA
Peaknik = Daniel Gómez, Spain
Roberto= Roberto Canogar, Spain
lads = Luís de Sousa, Portugal
DickLawrence = Dick Lawrence, Hudson, MA USA
philhart
aceditor = Andrew Evans
Do I miss someone?
Chris