Tuesday Acronym Open Thread...
Posted by Prof. Goose on February 7, 2006 - 12:27pm
Super G has been hard at work compiling those acronyms (Thanks SG!). If you note in the right sidebar, there is a link to a list. What else needs to be on there? (but this is also an open thread beyond an acronym-fest.)
I think we should focus more on DUETs and less on the froth of the day.
I found a small typo in the OPEC link. Right now it goes to open.org instead of opec.org.
Thanks again.
I love these kinds of stories.
It shows how phony the "price" signal is.
Irrespective of supply versus demand, if buyers form a COALLITION of the UNWILLING, the price is one number and if they don't it is another number.
I saw on CSPAN, one lady suggest that unions, in order to counter the "multinational" corporations that outsource work, should form multinational brotherhoods / sisterhoods.
(In either case, a black market would errupt where cheaters trade under the table for private gain. OPEC is a leaky valve to begin with.)
BTW (that means By The Way, by the way) I saw a couple of funny news stories juxtaposed today, regarding the price of oil. From CNN:
http://money.cnn.com/2006/02/07/news/international/iran_oil/?cnn=yes
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000087&sid=acMm_3ZUUmok&refer=top_world_news
That's the problem with the journalism business. You just got finished with this nice article all about how the Iran crisis is causing high oil prices, when they go and drop on you to a three week low. Suddenly your insightful article looks stupid.
http://money.cnn.com/2006/02/06/news/economy/budget_oil.reut/index.htm
Congress is requiring the Bush administration to add almost 300 million barrels to the nation's emergency oil stockpile, but the White House on Monday did not seek money to buy the crude in its proposed budget for the 2007 spending year sent to Congress.
1) I wonder if the reason oil is down is due to the CERA conference in Houston today - no doubt they are spinning the bearish case on oil. (Im being facetious regarding market but who knows?)
2)Sign of the times (goes along with Rapture index) Economics is now the most popular undergrad major
I can see some of these believers of "just-in-time supply chains" expecting the parachute to be handed to them as they pass the 33rd floor of the Empire State Building. (Overheard at the 34th floor level: "So far, so good.")
http://www.eia.doe.gov/kids/energyfacts/sources/non-renewable/bluebarrel.html
http://www.csub.edu/~dbaron/Sci360B/Bbl.htm
As it stands, the Guide is already a valuable reference. Thanks.
http://www.finfacts.com/irelandbusinessnews/publish/article_100047805.shtml
"101.5 million by the end of the decade"
Snip:
Thanks to a combination of higher prices, increased exploration and production spending, and improved technology, oil supplies are poised to grow much faster than they have in recent years. Cambridge Energy Research Associates (CERA), a respected energy consultant, sees 20 or more major new fields coming on line each year through 2010. Altogether those fields could boost worldwide production capacity 15%, from 87.9 million barrels per day to 101.5 million by the end of the decade, CERA estimates. As a result, supply should exceed demand by 7 million bbl. per day, a huge leap from the current cushion of 1 million bbl. That should take pressure off prices. "OPEC countries have the potential, and [most] are increasing production," says Peter Jackson, a CERA researcher. "Non-OPEC production has increased at quite a lick compared to the 1990s."'
WTF?
Good find.
Here's the twisted words from CERA
And here is your secret decoder ring code book:
[1] "Running out of oil" -very true, as long as there is one drop left somewhere, we have not "run out". See how truthful we are?
[2] "unconventional oils" --good thing we are counting Omega 3 fish oils
[3] they don't know what's underground either --gee that makes your position (CERA's) really strong (especially if you get to conveniently ignore Hubbert's curve and the fact that he was right)
[4] imagery of blowing trumpets and waving flags ("herald" and "undulate"), the word of God, it comes only from CERA's lips and their number [6] "proprietary" databases
[5] "other sources" --this covers the yet to be discovered Philosopher's Stone which some same say is a Zero Point Energy source
Remember kids, this is a SECRET decoder ring. Don't let your friends see it.
stb Stock Tank Barrel (of oil)
scf Standard Cubic Foot (of gas)
The "formal" measures of hydrocarbon volume - nearly always in lowercase. Often the legal basis for sales agreements, always the legal basis of reserves reports. Theoretically the fluids should be measured at 60 degrees Fahrenhit and 14.7 psi (1 atmosphere). The "stock tank" refers to small scale onshore operations and is rarely present in a large-scale modern production facility.
M (Prefix to the above - nearly always in uppercase) Thousand
MM (Ditto) Million (yes, confusing, but that's what they use)
MMM Billion almost never seen, use bn or b or occasionally metric G
T Trillion never MMMM (also matches metric Tera)
e.g. MMscf Million standard cubic feet. Prefixes above T are almost never seen.
STOIIP Stock Tank Oil Initially In Place (in a reservoir before production starts) - reservoir engineers just pronounce it as a word "what's the stoip of this reservoir?". Sometimes it's STOOIP Stock Tank Oil ORIGINALLY In Place. When reading media reports of a discovery (especially reports from 3rd World governments) it is important to determine whether they are referring to STOIIP or reserves volumes.
GIIP Gas Initially In Place (never GOIP)
RF Recovery Factor ratio between recoverable reserves and STOIIP normally expressed as a percentage. Varies widely - typically 20%-50% for oil and 70%-90% for gas
BOE Barrels Of Oil Equivalent - some oil companies like to aggregate their oil and gas reserves so they can report a single number of BOE (or MMBOE) - the conversion factor varies from company to company but is normally about 6000 scf of gas = 1 BOE
I have a lot more of these but the above selection will be ample for understanding even quite technical reports from oil companies, think tanks etc.
Note: "standard" temp and press can vary, see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standard_temperature_and_pressure).
API = American Petroleum Institute
API does not = application program interface, unless you work for Microsoft.
APIº = API Gravity is a reference to an oil's SGo, specific gravity oil, relative to water at 60ºF; SGw60 = 1.00
APIº = (141.5/SGo) - 131.5
Light, Medium and Heavy Crude Oils are classified by APIº
Light crude oil = APIº > 31.1
Medium crude oil = APIº 22.3 to 31.1
Heavy crude oil = APIº < 22.3
Water would have an APIº = (141.5/1.00)-131.5 = 10.0
Some acronyms I noticed missing:
PG: Persian Gulf
P5, P90, etc
Cheers, Ian
FT
Fischer-Tropsch process of converting methane or coal to liquid fuels
Into:
FT
Fischer-Tropsch process of converting methane, biomass or coal to liquid fuels
Or more elaborate:
FT
Fischer-Tropsch process of converting CO and H2 gas into liquid fuels. The CO and H2 gas can be made from methane, biomass or coal.
http://www.nytimes.com/2006/02/08/business/08leonhardt.html
Seems to me Odograph discussed this on his blog.
Regarding the point about auto manufacturers using the non-guzzlers to balance guzzlers under CAFE, I'd rather have the choice to buy one or the other anyway.
Of course I'd also like to have a practical, affordable EV, but that seems to be too much to ask. Which will be crushed first, the last EV-1 or GM itself?
If I make cars and have two lines and sell one of each would the CAFE just be the avg of the two cars, or would it be the average fuel efficiency accounting for the different mileage driven by each type of vehicle.
I mean if Car A gets 20 miles/gallon and is driven 100 miles a year, and car B gets 50 miles/gallon and is driven 50 miles a year what would be the CAFE?
35 miles/ gallon or 25 miles/gallon?