http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/steo/pub/contents.html

Because considerable uncertainty remains regarding the specific extent of Katrina's damage, it is difficult to provide a single forecast for the upcoming winter and subsequent months as we typically do in the monthly Outlook. More detailed damage assessments should be forthcoming over the next several weeks, which should clarify our forecast.

Looks like we'll have a day or two before Ophelia decides which way to turn, if at all.

http://www.greencarcongress.com/2005/09/15th_named_stor.html

But barring an unusually slow pace of repairs, the agency said domestic oil production should return to just under 5.4 million barrels a day in November, the level it was in August before Hurricane Katrina disrupted most of the Gulf production and knocked out ten Gulf coast refineries.

The EIA said U.S. refining capacity also should rebound with an anticipated output of gasoline and other fuels of nearly 16.4 million barrels a day in November, the same as the August levels.

Even in a slow recovery scenario a "return to normal operations .... is (expected to be) achieved or nearly achieved by December," said the EIA in a report issued Wednesday.

But he added, "the infrastructure has been coming back more quickly" than had been expected.

Lots of good weather discussion on www.easternuswx.com

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2005090706-ophelia16l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&a mp;hour=Animation

Take a look at http://hurricanefutures.miami.edu/ where people can bet real money on where hurricanes will hit. Current quotes predict a 65% chance that Ophelia will make landfall on the northern Florida coastline, in the A2 or A3 regions on the map. (This isn't terribly surprising since Ophelia is just offshore in that region.)

This hurricane market is a new idea so it's not clear how useful it will turn out to be. The web site is a little rough and I haven't found a way to look at, for example, the price history of Katrina as she made her way across into the gulf. I did check it shortly before landfall and it was predicting G3 or G4 (basically the Louisiana or Mississippi coasts) which was a no brainer by that time. It would be interesting to see how soon the market firmed up on that prediction.

Anyway this might turn out to be a good alternate source of information for hurricane watchers.

http://www.salon.com/wire/ap/archive.html?wire=D8CFMSQ80.html

A very good article by Sydney Blumenthal (You may need to get the free Salon day pass to read it)
http://www.salon.com/opinion/blumenthal/2005/09/08/limited_government/index_np.html

"What didn't go right?"
President Bush's absurd question underscores the arrogance of an administration whose "limited government" agenda is responsible for the disastrous federal response to Katrina.

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This is to be taken in the context of the following
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/n/a/2005/09/07/national/w095209D05.DTL

At a news conference, Pelosi, D-Calif., said Bush's choice for head of the Federal Emergency Management Agency had "absolutely no credentials."

She related that she had urged Bush at the White House on Tuesday to fire Michael Brown.

"He said 'Why would I do that?'" Pelosi said.

"'I said because of all that went wrong, of all that didn't go right last week.' And he said 'What didn't go right?'"

"Oblivious, in denial, dangerous," she added.

In the first government estimate of Katrina's economic impact, the bipartisan Congressional Budget Office said the damage seemed likely to reduce employment by 400,000 in coming months and to trim economic growth by as much as a full percentage point in the second half of the year. The impact should be temporary, with gasoline prices declining and consumer spending rebounding, said the assessment obtained by The Associated Press.

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Further from
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20050907/ts_nm/energy_gulf_storms_dc

Another storm would devastate US energy: analysts

HOUSTON (Reuters) - U.S. oil and natural gas supplies would be devastated if another strong storm hits while the Gulf of Mexico is recovering from Hurricane Katrina, energy analysts said on Wednesday.
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Two hurricanes and a tropical storm were churning in the Atlantic Ocean on Wednesday.
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The 2005 hurricane season, which lasts until November 30, has been one of the most active on record and is just reaching the traditional peak of activity in early September.

The forecast movement of Ophelia is a very complex issue. One option is for Ophelia to move westward across central Florida and end up in the eastern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Another option is for Ophelia to drift north or northwestward along the Florida coast, before turning northeast away from the Southeast coast. Even if this latter option were to occur, there is still a good chance that it could loop back toward the coast next week. The bottom line is that the future movement of Ophelia will be slow, and all interests along the southeast U.S. and Gulf coast should monitor the progress of Ophelia.

linkity link

Interestingly, the same technology that these researchers purport to control the weather can be used to deliver the world free energy through scalar electromagnetic waves.

The notion of free energy would surely have impacts on peak oil...

Hurricanes are thermodinamic systems and they are caused by high temepratures at the ocean surface. That is a natural phenomena and for now there is no human thecnology that can create them.

What real scientists are saying?

I made a reearch and I found this:
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php?p=181

It is a good idea read all comments about the article. There is good info there to how hurricanes "happen" and how high temepratures are making them more stronger.

João Carlos

sorry the bad language, my native language is portuguese.

PS

Inteligent Design isn't SCIENCE, it is religion. But "The USA enemies created a machine to hit us with hurricanes" is more stupid than ID...