OilCast.com #23: Exclusive bank transcript says high US pump prices may be here for good
Posted by Prof. Goose on September 16, 2005 - 11:26am
With an exclusive look at what one major bank is saying behind the scenes, Oilcast exposes what the market really thinks. That high American pump prices are here - for good.Is the one lasting effect of Katrina going to be the high price ordinary folk are going to pay to fill their cars and heat their homes?
Oilcast has obtained a transcript from a major international bank conference call that says, yes it is.
Plus, why is Tony Blair's second in command attacking OPEC? What did the oil markets do this week? Did high oil prices drive Delta and Northwest Airlines to Chapter 11 and why are Ford closing a plant in Lorain Ohio?
Is it really all about oil?
Cumulative oil just over 4% of annual production, so far.
The comment: "Approximately 35% of the oil shut-in is as a result of onshore infrastructure problems." started appearing in daily status releases on 9/14.
MMS also claims that underwater pipeline damage is not the problem in getting GoM oil back into production. If you read Rebecca Watson's 9/6/2005 testimony to Congress, she says that GoM production will return to 90% of pre-Katrina levels within 30 days, barring troubles with shore facilities to handle the crude & NG...
But the MMS data posted as of 9/16 basically show there's no way this will happen.
She made this comment at a time when it's unlikely she had enough industry data to support it, i.e. would the pipeline inspections be far enough along to allow saying that the return to production would be much faster that it was for Ivan.
So... why are MMS lying to Congress, then trying to spin their way out of trouble?
Does anybody out there know what shore facility problems (if any) are obstructing the return to productionin the GoM?
Does anybody out there know what the real story on pipeline damage is?