Denny Hastert: How Not to Walk in the Katrina Political Minefield...
Posted by Prof. Goose on September 1, 2005 - 3:54pm
WASHINGTON - House Speaker Dennis Hastert dropped a bombshell on flood-ravaged New Orleans on Thursday by suggesting that it isn’t sensible to rebuild the city."It doesn't make sense to me," Hastert told the Daily Herald in suburban Chicago in editions published today. "And it's a question that certainly we should ask."
Hastert's comments came as Congress cut short its summer recess and raced back to Washington to take up an emergency aid package expected to be $10 billion or more. Details of the legislation are still emerging, but it is expected to target critical items such as buses to evacuate the city, reinforcing existing flood protection and providing food and shelter for a growing population of refugees.
The Illinois Republican’s comments drew an immediate rebuke from Louisiana officials.
“That’s like saying we should shut down Los Angeles because it’s built in an earthquake zone,” former Sen. John Breaux, D-La., said. “Or like saying that after the Great Chicago fire of 1871, the U.S. government should have just abandoned the city.”
Hastert said that he supports an emergency bailout, but raised questions about a long-term rebuilding effort. As the most powerful voice in the Republican-controlled House, Hastert is in a position to block any legislation that he opposes.
"We help replace, we help relieve disaster," Hastert said. "But I think federal insurance and everything that goes along with it... we ought to take a second look at that."
The speaker’s comments were in stark contrast to those delivered by President Bush during an appearance this morning on ABC’s “Good Morning America.”
“I want the people of New Orleans to know that after rescuing them and stabilizing the situation, there will be plans in place to help this great city get back on its feet,” Bush said. “There is no doubt in my mind that New Orleans is going to rise up again as a great city.”
Insurance industry executives estimated that claims from the storm could range up to $19 billion. Rebuilding the city, which is more than 80 percent submerged, could cost tens of billions of dollars more, experts projected.
Hastert questioned the wisdom of rebuilding a city below sea level that will continue to be in the path of powerful hurricanes.
"You know we build Los Angeles and San Francisco on top of earthquake issures and they rebuild, too. Stubbornness," he said.
Hastert wasn't the only one questioning the rebuilding of New Orleans. The Waterbury, Conn., Republican-American newspaper wrote an editorial Wednesday entitled, "Is New Orleans worth reclaiming?"
"Americans' hearts go out to the people in Katrina's path," it said. "But if the people of New Orleans and other low-lying areas insist on living in harm's way, they ought to accept responsibility for what happens to them and their property."
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We're a funny species.
You can hold the opinion Hastert holds, but still sound human, very easily. You just withhold comment. "We must pay attention to pressing priorities right now. We need to help the living with all possible urgency, then bury the dead, and then work to control the flooding. We'll make the best possible decisions about how rebuild in the future, but it's too early to speculate on specifics."
Thus far, all the government communications I've seen on Katrina have been appalling. Government (in)actions have been far worse.
I know that in the end the "cost/benefit" analysis may go to the wayside when it comes to the debate as emotions come into play. I would wager that even though the people on this board would vote 99-1 against the possibility of letting parts of New Orleans go, the overall populace is much more of a split as to what to do now.
(I'm not saying ditch the whole city, I'm saying make a really honest judgement about whether or not it makes sense to save certain areas of the city when the cost is factored into play). Truth is, 99.9% of us don't really know the hard numbers, but I think it's is wise to be open to all possibilities, even the ones we don't want to think about.
The workers for both the port and the refineries will need to be returned, eventually so will their families. And so will all of the service workers that keep housing, food, education, transportation, etc. etc. for those port and refinery workers. The city will be repopulated because it must be.
The alternative...give up on the city, which means giving up on the economic role the Mississippi has played for the US since the beginning. That, simply put, is NOT going to happen.
Finally, I don't think Denny Hastert is speaking as a republican or for republicans in general when he made the statement quoted here at TOD. I think he made the statement as part of a very short sited group of power drunk morons who have hijacked the republican party so that they and their buddies could steal as much of the country's candy as possible before they die. There are plenty of life-long republicans who will find Hastert's comments absolutely outrageous. Not because they are soft-hearted wimps who can't stand the sight of people who are suffering, but eyes-wide-open realists who understand the essential role the city of New Orleans has played in the US economy for most of it's 200 years. Just as the article given above argues
From my blog, Politics in the Zeros.
http://www.polizeros.com/2005/09/01.html#a5909
Hasfert has a point. Why rebuild below sea level if it'll happen again?
Ditto for L.A. (where I live.) Yeah, we're thinking of relocating. Katrina has speeded up the process. The traffic is insane and unending, there's a sense the wheels are falling off regionwide, and if the Big One ever hits, it'll be the equal of Katrina.
Indeed, why rebuild, only for it to happen again? There are better ways to rebuild than just repeating the same mistake, hoping it'll be different this time.
On the one hand, that's a sign that they felt the city too important to simply not rebuild. They raised the surviving buildings and moved utilities to match the new level. Quite the feat (16 million cubic yards of sand, give or take)
On the other hand, they haven't been hit by a really Big One in a while, and had Katrina veered further west we might all be bemoaning the loss of Houston's refineries and pipelines instead of Louisiana's.
I've seen some of the waterworks they use in order to live near and below sea level in The Netherlands - where they do not even get Category 4 and 5 storms. By comparison to those works, that flimsy concrete seawall you all saw in the news photos of the levee breaches was a very, very sick joke. And the apparent notion of protecting an entire strategic city in the world's worst hurricane zone with largely earthen levees is an even sicker joke.
The legendary easygoing corrupt cheapskate approach is simply not an adequate way to live safely in such a harsh spot. Local people (it's not all GWB's fault) are going to have to take part of the responsibility, rather than spending every available dime on Mardi Gras costumes, however lovable, and on Superdomes, Convention Centers, and all that sort of entertaining fluff. First things first.
BEST: 6 months
WORST: 3-5 years
This city should probably never have been built there, definately not to this scale.
Los Angeles and New Orleans don't seem to make for good comparisons. The Northridge quake didn't wipe Los Angeles out. This hurricane wiped New Orleans out. And major quakes are somewhat rare. Hurricanes happen nearly every year.
New Orleans could get another one next week for all we know.
Regarding the importance of the port, I believe a port facility will be rebuilt somewhere, but that's not the same thing as a city.
Also, rebuilding takes energy, which is different from money, and which we should use carefully.
That is unless you are really post-modern, and believe things like "rivers don't exist beyond our cultural constructions of them. So why don;t we just construct a new geography some place else" Though the tone of the conversation feels a little post-modern to me. Derida anyone.
I defer...
and Uptown would be preserved and would form the core city - all surrounded by green space. A high speed rail line would also link the airport to the core. Thus the new New Orleans would be the historic districts surrounded by green parkland that no one would care if it occassionally flooded. The trains would bring workers into the city and the airport would bring in the tourists. It would make one of America's unique cities even more unique.
The beauty of this approach is that the restoration of the city can preceed on a dual track. The new residential area can be being build while the flooded areas are being cleared. The rail line can also commence construction.
I agree that it's foolish to rebuild the residential infrastructure below
sea level in an age of powerful storms but there is no way I would abandon the history and beauty of New Orleans. Expensive? You bet but I'd rather spend $300 billion here than in Iraq.
a) abandon it
b) totally rebuild it
But as you point out, there is
c) something in between
Thanks for your insight!
The Army Corps of Engineers has been trying to control the river for over a century, and in the process, they have disallowed flooding into the Atchafalaya basin, which feeds a lrge portion of the Louisiana marshlands. This has let salt water encroach into the marsh, and without more sediment coming from the river system (now it empties at the mouth of the river, causing a 24/7-365 days a year dredging operation), the marsh cannot replenish itself as the sediments compact and sink. This is simple depositional geology, and to deny it is just ignorance when the sedimentary record shows exactly what the progression of events is in keeping and building marshlands.
This has basically removed the natural hurricane buffer, and dramatically increased Louisiana's vulnerability across their entire coastline. But if you look at the are below New Orleans, you can see that today there is no marsh, just the east and west levee's holding the river!
The port will be rebuilt, and it is in a good location. But we need to actually apply some systemic thinking to this, not just willy-nilly rebuild it. IMO, they need to get it drained and actually see how much of the city should be condemned, then make their decisions. If it has to be leveled in spots, then why not build those spots up prior to rebuilding? You can actually design the place to accomodate flooding, rather than fighting to avoid it.
Other cities have done this in small degree. Houston relocated thousands of homes after their last big flood, and now they have local runoff catchments to disallow flash flooding to a large extent. Dallas has an entire zone near their most flood-prone river that is designed for rising water overflow.
It's usually a lot easier to work WITH the natural system than to try and control it.
However the Big One on the highly populated Inglewood-Long Beach fault line could be something else, with LAX and the ports disabled or gone.
Most of the drinking water in LA is piped in over a pass, with the biggest pumps in the world atop that pass. If a quake took the pumps or ruptured the underground aqueducts...
It would be hideous in a different way from NOLA, and I doubt there's much of a workable disaster plan here either.