The Bullroarer - Friday 1st May 2009

Voxy - Carbon Footprint Study Ultimate Example Of Idiocy Of Climate Hysteria
what's up with New Zealander news today?

The announcement yesterday by Zespri of the results of a carbon footprint study have been described as "the ultimate example of the idiocy of climate hysteria." The New Zealand Climate Science Coalition said that study completely ignores the volume of carbon dioxide (CO2) absorbed by kiwifruit vines in their annual growth cycles, which may well offset most if not all of the CO2 emitted in subsequent activities reported in the study.

NZ Herald - Chris de Freitas: We need to be listening to science
As long as it is the right science.

[.....]
The Sun was more active during much of the 20th century than it was for the previous 1000 years. Now, however, the trend appears to have reversed.

[.....]

No one knows for sure what the future holds, but there are some good clues as to what's going on. It hinges on growing evidence that natural influences on climate are in fact stronger than any man-made greenhouse effect.

The Australian - Free fuel and taxis for WA pensioners
I swear I'm not making this stuff up.

RURAL pensioners will begin to receive free petrol within days as the West Australian Government hands out thousands of $500 fuel cards to elderly people in regional areas.

TV NZ - Zespri considers giant kites to ship fruit

Giant kites that help propel cargo ships is one initiative Zespri International is looking at to reduce the carbon footprint of kiwifruit.

SMH - Plan says to stockpile but officials say don't panic
It is worth remembering that stores typically only carry 3-5 days of inventory, so if even a third of Australians went out tomorrow and tried to buy 14 days of supplies....well there would be scraps over the last bag of rice before the day was through.

The Federal Government's pandemic plan, a 132-page manual issued to medics, media and the public, insists that once the world reaches phase five, Australians should stock their pantries with food and bottled water to last 14 days, check on elderly neighbours and put emergency numbers by the phone.

But yesterday a spokesman for the Department of Health and Ageing called for calm, saying the Government did not want to spark panic buying - ignoring its own plan, already issued to hospitals across the nation.

"I agree that is it confusing," the spokesman said, admitting he had not read the pandemic plan despite being employed to answer questions about it from national media. "The manual may say people should be preparing but we don't want a run at the shops," he said.

Online Opinion - Oil and the lucky country

Australia has a reputation as being the “lucky country”. I am a firm believer that “luck” is simply where preparation meets opportunity. In other words, being lucky is no accident. If we are to remain the “lucky country” however, we need to adapt as circumstances change. Nowhere is this more pertinent than in adapting to Australia’s future oil supply.

ABC - New energy industry targets welcomed

The Tasmanian Premier says plans to reintroduce renewable energy targets will have a massive effect on hundreds of millions of dollars of stalled projects in the state.

ABC - Oil, coal industries cry foul on ETS

The Australian Coal Association has told a Senate inquiry that the Federal Government's emissions trading scheme will cost the industry $5 billion in its first five years.

ABC - Climate scientists call for coal power stations' closure

Six off Australia's leading climate change scientists have written to the coal industry, telling them to shut down power stations and take responsibily for their environmental damage.

ABC - Government vows to pass climate change scheme

PETER CAVE: The Senate debate on the Government's scheme to tackle climate change is drawing close and with every day the Government is being squeezed harder and harder by forces on all sides of the political spectrum.

The Opposition says it has new evidence that the scheme is deeply flawed, it will hurt industry and cost jobs and may not be the best way of cutting carbon pollution anyway. And the Greens say the Government's scheme is economic lunacy because it won't do enough.

The Climate Change Minister Penny Wong is fighting on. She says the Government is still determined to get its plan through the Senate this winter.

Voxy NZ - New Dating Method Shows Glaciers Out Of Sync, Scientists Find'

1 MAY 2009 - Scientists have gained new insights to global climate patterns from the advances and retreats of glaciers in the Mount Cook region over the past 7000 years.

Glaciers are sensitive indicators of changing climate. They become shorter when the climate warms, and lengthen when it cools.

Former positions of glaciers are marked by moraines ? mounds of rock debris dumped at the front and sides of the ice tongue. The age of a moraine can tell scientists when the glacier was last at that location.

But until now, it has been difficult to reliably measure the age of a moraine.

[.....]

The dating reveals no simple pattern of variation. Some warm periods in Europe coincide with well-advanced glaciers in New Zealand. At other times, glaciers were well advanced in both areas.

This challenged some widely held beliefs about the global climate system and how it functions, said geologist David Barrell of GNS Science, one of the three New Zealanders involved in the project.

Scoop.co.nz - SMELLIE SNIFFS THE BREEZE: Are you scared yet?

If those stars all align, then things will slowly return to something more stable and there will be growth although the rich world may never quite go shopping the way it did over the last 20 years.

So it won’t be spectacular and it will have to include some evening of the imbalance between global rich and poor which will see today’s poor spend and have more, while the gluttons cut back.

That, essentially, is the guts of the climate change deal that must be concluded this year, and which has been so overshadowed by the financial crisis.

Otago Daily Times - Change is needed, climate scientist says

Mr McKibben is an unashamed bearer of bad tidings, and his penchant for turning off lights in his home had caused his daughter to refer to him as "the Dark Lord".

Herald Sun - Sewage undergoes green makeover
Wow. If we are a "world leader" the world ain't lookin' too flash....

Mr Young also said Australia was seen as a world leader on adaptation to climate change with pushes towards recycled water, conservation programs, low-flow shower heads and labelling on white goods.

Free petrol vouchers ? Where did that idea come from ??? Petrol has been falling in price !

A few more snippets from the world of coal seam gas :

Reuters - Australia's Origin says tougher market to sell LNG

The developers of a proposed $24.5 billion gas-export project in Australia are finding it tougher to market the fuel as global recession hits demand, one of the backers, Origin Energy (ORG.AX), said on Wednesday. Origin and U.S.-based ConocoPhillips (COP.N) plan to build one of the country's largest liquefied natural gas (LNG) plants in the northeastern state of Queensland using coal-seam gas. It aims to produce 3.5 million tonnes of LNG in 2014, with the potential to expand four-fold.

Origin Chief Executive Grant King said the venture was in early talks with buyers but they were more cautious than a year ago. "While it has become more challenging to find markets for LNG, demand still exists for quality ventures with strong reserves," he added. "In our view, there's no question there's room for further LNG to be contracted long term, particularly into the Asia Pacific market," King told reporters in a teleconference. "The underlying demand is still there but the pressure for buyers to contract sooner rather than later is less."

ABC - Origin expands coal seam gas holdings

Origin Energy has bought more coal seam gas reserves in Queensland. The company has paid the Pangea Group $660 million to secure reserves in the Surat Basin, near the NSW border.

The Australian - Arrow Energy looks to expand in Europe this year

The coal seam gas producer said it would produce its first gas from these reserves by 2011. Arrow, which owns offshore tenements in China, Vietnam and Indonesia, also said in a slide presentation that it wanted to double the number of offshore tenements in which it had firm title to 12 this year.

Well, the kiwis elected a conservative party, so... everything's gone loopy there.

Olympic Dam environment impact presented

[...] it did not disclose the cost of an expansion which would take up to a decade.

[...] the expanded uranium and copper mine would employ 8,000 permanent workers with 13,000 more flow-on jobs.

The study revealed at least 1.6 million tonnes of copper concentrate would be exported annually to China. [...]

The study stated an expanded mine would consume five times as much power as the current Olympic Dam mine, and consume 250 megalitres of water a day - an increase on the current daily level of 37 megalitres.

A desalination plant will be built near Whyalla to provide most of the water required. The company says discharge from the plant will not impact on the cuttlefish industry in SA's Spencer Gulf.

The expansion also required either a gas pipeline from Moomba to power an electricity station at Olympic Dam, or a 270km electricity transmission line from Port Augusta to the mine, the EIS stated.

A new 105km rail connection was also needed to connect the mine to the Adelaide-Darwin railway, and Olympic Dam would also require a new airport, 10,000 person village and expansion of the Roxby Downs township near the site.

Interesting. If we want to buy a few new train carriages or just get the current ones to run on time, we're dead broke and can't afford it. But when it comes to expanding our capacity to dig it up and sell it overseas, well then we can build new power plants, desalination plants, railways, airports, employ thousands, no worries.

Oh well. At least uranium means less fossil fuels burned, yeah?

Turtles to share WA island with $50 billion gas project

THE orange-bellied parrot may be enough to derail wind farm proposals, but it appears the endangered flatback turtles in Western Australia are no barrier to Gorgon's $50 billion liquefied natural gas project proceeding. [...]

The Chevron Australia, Shell and ExxonMobil joint venture had to seek EPA approval after the proposal was expanded from the original two-train project to include a 35 million tonnes a year LNG train.

Oh well. Not that I really care much about the flatback turtle. Not any more than I care about the orange-bellied parrot, or the speckle-arsed wombat for that matter. But it'd be nice to have some consistency to these things.

Either we have the money for big projects, or we don't. Either we care about endangered species, or we don't. We can't be flush with cash and not worried about endangered species when it comes to fossil fuels and mining, but then suddenly broke and all tree-huggy when it comes to renewable energy.

Read and regurgitate.

"It was challenging to bring it in, and we will be under enormous scrutiny going forward, but it is very important to us because in many ways it quantifies what the Nationals have been able to achieve from the power sharing arrangement in Government."

Orwell commented on this kinda thing over 50 years ago.

Individual phrases that appear to contain a quanta of meaning, strung together... it has the sheen of cogent thought... without any real content.

Or maybe its worse than that!

Obviously someone has come to the conclusion that this is a cheap way to provide some kinda social service while buying a large slab of votes. It's not just the "35,000 aged country pensioners" 'loyalty' but their families as well.

"The petrol cards could also be used in cars owned by family, friends or carers who ferried pensioners to appointments."

After all they are obviously deserving: they are old, they 'built this country', they have the votes in the right country marginal seats...

If they were 18 we might use a different word.

"Like the quacking of a duck" !

On the topic of "Duckspeak", the Ministry of Love has just released the Defence White Paper (1.8Mb PDF), and despite the fervent hopes of everyone looking for some Government appreciation of Peak Oil as a serious global issue, the phrase doesn't even get a mention in the 138 pages.

- Nothing on how all these fossil-fuelled military techno-marvels will be kept running.

- Nothing about how large increases in fuel costs (from 2012!) may threaten the viability of our seaborne trade, let alone the funding of Defence.

- There is some discussion of "competition" for energy resources, but always this is rather bizarrely presented as some sort of fellow-traveller of "climate change", so no alarm bells will be going off until at least 2030, apparently...

4.60 The Government also considered new security risks that might arise from the potential impact of climate change and resource security issues, involving future tensions over the supply of energy, food and water. These issues are likely to exacerbate already significant population, infrastructure and governance problems in developing countries, straining their capacity to adapt.

4.61 Uncertainty about the effects of climate change and the period of time over which potential impacts may develop makes it difficult to assess its strategic consequences. Large-scale strategic consequences of climate change are not likely to be felt before 2030. The security effects of climate change are likely to be most pronounced where states have limited capacity to respond to environmental strains. The greater frequency of such events, together with the systemic impacts of sea-level rise, changed rainfall patterns and drought, will place greater pressure on water and food security, including on local fisheries.

4.62 Many countries in our immediate neighbourhood will be especially vulnerable to these effects. Countries in the Pacific may find themselves threatened by severe climatic events such as more intense cyclonic and extreme weather events. Some South Pacific nations will be placed under significant stress as a consequence of the impacts of climate change. They may require external assistance to manage the consequences of climate change, and to respond to natural or man-made humanitarian crises or disasters.

4.63 The main effort against such developments will of course need to be undertaken through coordinated international climate change mitigation and economic assistance strategies, and concerted international action to assure energy supply and distribution, which will need to be at the forefront of Australia's policy responses.

4.64 Should these and other strategies fail to mitigate the strains resulting from climate change, or resource security issues, and they exacerbate existing precursors for conflict, the Government would possibly have to use the ADF as an instrument to deal with any threats inimical to our interests.

4.65 It may be that the new potential sources of conflict related to our planet's changing climate, or resource scarcity, give rise to very old forms of confrontation and war, such as clashes between states over resources. From a defence planning point of view, the key issue concerns the nature of such conflicts and the implications for defence capabilities, rather than their cause. More frequent and severe natural disasters and extreme weather events will also increase demands on the ADF and other government agencies to provide humanitarian assistance and disaster relief assistance in the future.

Rudd Delays ETS

YOU SON OF A BITCH! >:(

He's delayed rearranging the deck chairs as the ship is sinking. This is not something we ought to worry about.

In fact, it gives us hope - hope that something will actually be done. A well-designed emissions trading scheme could work. This is not well-designed, nor is it a trading scheme - the largest polluters will be granted free permits. It's like trying to limit drunkeness by handing out bar gift cards.

A well-designed emissions trading scheme could work. This is not well-designed, nor is it a trading scheme -

I know! That's half of what I'm complaining about. He should be canning the entire thing, giving Penny Wong the arse, and trying again!
If he insists on keeping this zombie of a policy upright and kicking, every excuse he can think of in support of the delay doesn't stand up to scrutiny anyway. He's simply going to have to come up with something better.

I don't think Penny Wong can be blamed.

Unfortunately, Australia like the UK is closer to a Presidential Republic than a Westminster constitutional democracy. In the past the principle was that though the Prime Minister was more important than any other Minister of the Crown, they were not more important than the Cabinet as a whole.

In Australia, this was set aside by Menzies, who at one point asked for a Cabinet vote, it went against what he wanted, he said, "and I vote aye, the motion is carried" - and everyone just sat there surprised and said nothing. From then on, our government became more like a Presidential system, with one individual making most of the important decisions.

So unless Wong resigned from Cabinet and/or the party, or unless the party caucus gave Rudd an ultimatum - "follow the caucus or else you're out" - she'd have to do what Rudd told her.

I've alays said that Rudd would disappoint us, offering warm fuzzies on issues but no action. Sad to say, he's even worse than I expected. Cash handouts now exceed $20 billion, and the infrastructure fund has been dropped from $20 to $6-$7 billion. That is, real building and real jobs have been rejected in favour of a cash splurge. So he's worse than useless.

Unfortunately, the Lib-Nats are even worse, still stuck with their Sheriff Johnny policies that got them binned last time, so it's very much the lesser of two evils.

In some ways, Rudd reminds me of Dubya. He's firmly convinced that he's a fine fellow and everyone likes him.

I didn't expect much from Rudd but he has been a great disappointment nevertheless.

"In some ways, Rudd reminds me of Dubya. He's firmly convinced that he's a fine fellow and everyone likes him."

I think as long as he convinces himself that's all that matters to Rudd! While I can see his talent and intelligence he comes across as a self righteous prig. I'm sure his biographies will centre around the death of his father in shaping his world.

On the other mater, surely from a purely "economic efficiency" point of view it would have been far more "efficient" to just transfer the stimulus money to China thus avoiding the vagaries of the consumer I mean voter... after all China could then spend it back to us on coal.

Are you being stimulated?
Ground floor:
Perfumery, stationary, and leather goods, wigs and haberdashery, kitchenware and food. Going up...

I'm not being stimulated, I received no handout :)

My woman got the $900, but she also got a tax bill for $950. So for us it's a bit like the GST was.
"We bring in a sales tax but reduce the income tax to balance it out."
"But..."
"So we're taking $50 from your right-hand pocket and putting $50 in your left-hand pocket. You're better off!"
"Um, thanks."

Anyway, they should have spent it on infrastructure.

"Anyway, they should have spent it on infrastructure."

My sentiment so long as it's the "right" infrastructure.

Climate change debate gets messy
* Shaun Carney
* May 6, 2009
The Age

"...the Rudd Government has set out to use climate change to destroy a third successive Liberal leader - which is ironic in several ways.

The first is that the Government has been forced in no small part to renege on the scheme's time frame because of the Liberals' unyielding stance on the starting date. Make no mistake, Kevin Rudd and his cabinet are making these changes to the Government's stance because they have to, not because they want to. And it's been the Liberals under Turnbull who have largely been responsible for forcing the change."

...

"By effectively killing the Government's first version of an ETS, and flagging that the Senate in its current configuration is incapable of passing a carbon reduction scheme into law, the Liberals and Greens have caused Rudd to use climate change as a political instrument rather than as a policy one.

To this end, it has to be said that courtesy of his rejigged ETS proposal he has at this early stage been successful. He has split the natural constituencies of the Greens and the Liberals. Because the new ETS proposal holds out the prospect of higher cuts in carbon emissions during the mature phase of its implementation, it has the backing of the Australian Conservation Foundation and the Climate Institute.

Because its introduction will be delayed, it has the backing of the Australian Industry Group and has attracted sympathetic noises from the country's biggest corporations through the agency of the Business Council of Australia. In other words, Labor has hived off groups that the Greens and the Liberals need to be able to hold their respective positions."

the Senate in its current configuration is incapable of passing a carbon reduction scheme into law

Shaun Carney you silly prick, they're not incapable of passing a carbon reduction scheme, only of passing an atrociously bad one.

The Greens will sign onto it provided it is actually designed to fulfill its stated purpose. There's no point in passing a Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme which won't actually reduce carbon pollution.

Any injuries sustained by the Lib-Nats are self-inflicted, not caused by Labor. They still haven't stepped away from the Howard days. If they'd lost by a whisker and Sheriff Jonny was still around you could understand, but you'd think that being trounced and the boss being turfed out of his own seat would wake them up, but nope. They need new policies: they can be more conservative, more liberal, more business-friendly, more green, or whatever - but they need to be new.

Rudd at least has the sense to pretend to offer something new.