How Big is your Bicycle?



I think electric bicycles have a great future.

Take a typical push-bike and modify it with an electric motor and a small battery pack and you have a vehicle which could get millions of people through their daily commute for an order of magnitude (or two) less than they currently need.

Suddenly you have a vehicle that's pretty frugal in the use of resources required to manufacture it, doesn't require any particular level of fitness and is ready to plug into the electricity grid. I can also imagine manufacturer's addding little 'bubble' cages around them soon, to provide weather protection so that the list of reasons not to 'cycle to work' reduces even further.


However, thinking about this future raises some other concerns. While total freight traffic must decline, it's likely that big trucks will still be common because of their efficiency per unit transported. Buses are also going to be a big part of our public transport future. But these trucks and buses will be sharing the roadspace with an increasing number of small and ultra-small vehicles. We could see a bi-modal size distribution of vehicles develop on our roads, which has hefty implications for road safety and infrastructure planning.



Another result of this is that line between 'cars' and 'bikes' will become increasingly fuzzy. Consider the 'vehicles' in the picture below, all of which are powered by human muscle (calories) or batteries, except the Harley Davidson motorbike and the Smart Car (which could easily be converted).



Now try to answer the following questions:

  • Which of these vehicle types do you think we should have more of?
  • Which ones should be allowed on main roads?
  • Which ones could use an on-road bicycle lane amongst traffic?
  • Which ones could use an off-road bicycle path in your local park?
  • Which ones should get free entry into congestion charging zones?
  • Which ones require dedicated parking spaces?
  • Which ones would you feel safe in?
  • Which ones should you be able to carry on a train?
  • Which ones should be taxed, and which ones subsidised?
  • Which ones should 'bicycle' advocacy groups support?

Can you agree on the answers to those questions? What would your local transport planner say?

I just bought an electric bike. I love it. http://ecolo-cycle.com/Mundial_en_new.htm

I think the segway would be difficult to drag home if the battery died. As for the electric car I think the weight would make it inefficient and we need to get away from the car concept. It would also be hard to push home if the battery died. I believe a rail system directly connected to a power grid would make the most sense for mass transit.

I've been riding electric bikes for a few years now. I have 1700 miles on one and 700 miles on another. About 6 months ago, i switched jobs from one where I had a company car to another where i didn't. I decided to not buy a second car. This would not be possible without without my electric bikes.

I built both using a kit and a standard bike frame. I can go 20 miles at less than 20 mph or 12 miles at top speed. I'm planing on building one that can go 20 miles at 30 miles per hour. This would be pretty much the best you can do with an electric bike.

I love my electric bikes but it isn't THE answer. Nothing is really. It will be like our energy problems where a mix of energies (oil, coal, nuclear, wind and solar) will all be needed and used. The bike is great for trips less than 6 miles. In larger cities, it's faster to get around on bike than by car. My office is 5 miles away and if i drove instead of biked, i would only save only 5 minutes. The issue is that you're exposed to the elements and you generally can't ride with passangers or large cargo.

In my opinion, the best mix of vehicles will be a hybrid, a small electric car (range of 40 or 50 miles will be good enough) and an electric bike.

The most efficient way of transporting people is with subways like they have in Japan. People living in tokyo don't need vehicles to get around-- just their own two feet. Problem is, you won't be able to find very many americans wanting to live like they do in tokyo. There's way too many people.

Just like there is road service for fossil fuel vehicles, there can be road service including recharges for electric ones.

How about a battery-swap service so that one would not need to wait for recharging?

Who's going to force all the car manufacturers to have swappable batteries (makes crash safety a real headache!), much less standardize on one or a few sizes, connectors, etc?

And then who's going to set up the network of battery-swapping stations when the vehicle fleet to pay for them doesn't exist?  (It's the same problem as the "Hydrogen Highway".)

There's a reason why the near future belongs to the PHEV; it doesn't demand anything new except the vehicle itself.

* Which of these vehicle types do you think we should have more of?

Well, you left off regular bicycles, inline skates, and skateboards. I think we should have more of the non-motorized vehicles, and more of the small motorized vehicles so long as they replace larger motorized vehicles. I expect we'll get there.

* Which ones should be allowed on main roads?

All of them.

* Which ones could use an on-road bicycle lane amongst traffic?

The ones without motors. Frankly, I think we should just call bike lanes HPV (Human powered vehicle) lanes.

* Which ones could use an off-road bicycle path in your local park?

The ones without motors.

* Which ones should get free entry into congestion charging zones?

The ones without motors.

* Which ones require dedicated parking spaces?

Why would any of them require dedicated parking spaces?

* Which ones would you feel safe in?

I usually bike or in-line skate to work, so I'd say all of them.

* Which ones should you be able to carry on a train?

The ones that are small enough to fit safely.

* Which ones should be taxed, and which ones subsidised?

None of them should be taxed and none of them should be subsidized. We should charge fuel taxes to deal with Peak Oil and GHG pollution and leave the taxes and subsidies at that.

However, I do think we should get our insurance rates and laws to reflect the potential damage a vehicle can do to others. Then, in almost all cases, anyone who hits a pedestrian is at fault both legally and financially. Operators of larger vehicles who hit operators of smaller vehicles should be proportionally by size and fault responsible for the crash. The idea that all vehicles are equal in terms of responsibility is bunk.

* Which ones should 'bicycle' advocacy groups support?

Bicycling advocacy groups should support the rights of HPV bicyclists first, other HPV operators, then maybe electric bike operators. Basically, the ones in similar discrimination positions.

* Which ones should be allowed on main roads?

All of them.

There was a children's tricycle in there. That's the only one that made me stop and think. On a side-street or a cul-de-sac, perhaps, but I wouldn't think that would be appropriate on a main road.

I also would be pretty unhappy if I couldn't ride my electrically-assisted bicycle (has a "motor" but one must pedal it) in bike lanes or paths. It is quiet, the size and shape of a regular bicycle, and the assist fades out as it approaches a speed of about 17 mph, so it does not endanger or inconvenience other users of such lanes/paths. As a matter of fact, using it, I cannot keep up with really strong people who are riding un-assisted bikes. But for those of us who are not very strong, the electric assist makes bicycle-commuting far more feasible, especially when the commute is long and hilly (relative to the person's strength - in my case the commute is 9 hilly miles each way).

I would make a distinction between an electric assist and an assist with a little gas motor. I wouldn't want to be stuck behind one of those stinky things on a bike trail. An electric bike I wouldn't mind very much (I would only start to mind if the trails started to get crowded :-).

OK, but then where do you draw the line? What about an adult tricycle? How about an adult tricycle operated by an elderly lady who doesn't go much faster than a kid on a tricycle? Do you mean that kids shouldn't be allowed to operate on main roads? What if the kid is biking with parents? Triking along with mom pushing a stroller in a bike lane with no sidewalk? What if this main road is 20 years post-peak and has almost no car traffic?

There's a trike club in my area. Yep, trikes. They call them, proudly, trikes. And they are usually Harley-based, 3-wheeled motorcycles. Apparently they're meeting at the local McDonald's because I saw like 4 of the things parked there, should have stopped in and said Hi.

Stuff all that legal stuff vis-avis liability. I hear that in India drivers who hit pedestrians get lynched.

I must say that when riding my regular non-electric bicycle, and am on city streets (typically <= 35mph) that there are times that I "take the lane". If I am going down a street and need to make a left-hand turn, then I need to be in the left-hand turn lane. Trying to make the turn from elsewhere is problematic at best.

When I ride my bicycle to the office, my parking space is next to my desk. Bicycles are hard to secure - someone could steal the headlights for example. Even the best locks that are out there can easily be defeated with the cheap battery powered angle grinders that are on the market these days. While none of this is likely to happen at our office, nobody seems to bother me about bringing it up in the elevator, so that's where I park it.

Ericy - the little Cateye light that clips on and off, is great. Not a TON of light but enough to see on a dark street, perfect the bunny-hop for those sudden surprises! And, since you unclip the light and take it in with you, when the lights go off in your building and everyone's freaking, you get to be the hero and lead groups of people out because you have a light.

Nice if you get to keep your bike in your office though - get a nice Merckx and a Park stand and call it "modern art"

Some people like helmet mounted lights for that reason. I ended up going with a Cygolite Dualcross which is mounted on the frame, and then upgraded the LED emitters to get more light. I am probably at ~450 lumens right now, and on a dark trail it really does an excellent job of lighting things up.

The head of the light does unclip fairly easily though. If I wanted to remove it, it would only take a few seconds. But my point is that it would be a nuisance to have to remove everything from the bike that isn't bolted down. Not only the light, but the battery, the frame pump. Perhaps the cycling computer (really the size of a wristwatch). The taillight also easily unclips, so that would need to come off too. So in the end it is just easier to bring it into the building where I don't have to worry about it.

If we could just get the divide and conquer clowns calling themselves our ‘leaders’ to recognize a bicycle and its appendages as just as much of a vehicle as a car for theft punishment purposes, lots more people would be using bikes for short hop errands and commuting. Here in San Francisco, by far the biggest reason many take their car instead of their bike is out of control bike and accessory theft.

Collapsing all Mickey Mouse laws regarding what penalty one should get for stealing what vehicle into one fixed punishment for ‘theft of mode of transportation’ would promote bike use much better than all manners of bike lanes, critical mass rides, euro envious wannabe communist subsidies and whatnot. There really is no defensible reason why stealing a poor guys bike (or skateboard, for that matter) should not be punished just as harshly as stealing a rich guys jet. Except the Jet owners ability to obtain media coverage and donate to political campaigns, of course.

I occasionally ride a bike with a 500W electric hub motor. With my assistance it will run about 20-25MPH. This is comfortable on residential roads, provided there are not many stops (stops waste power).

On the major arteries that are necessary to actually go anywhere this is too slow, interaction with traffic flow can be terrifying, and it exposes one to high levels of exhaust, not a good thing while exercising.

On the recreational bicycle/walking/rollerskating paths, which are 8 feet wide, this is much too fast. There are many twists and turns and old people walking dogs. While the path is scenic and enjoyable, it is dangerous for commuting at speed. It is necessary to frequently limit speeds to 10MPH or slower to avoid hazards.

I think it is clear that what is needed is a separate communting system with design principles similar to limited-access highways (with overpasses, lanes, access ramps and limited grades), but away from exhaust-spewing engines. This would allow movement of light, low-powered vehicles over intermediate distances at relatively high speed, without the danger of encountering pedestrians or other slower moving traffic.
Regarding the questions from the article:

* Which of these vehicle types do you think we should have more of?

I think it is obvious that the lowest powered device that will do the job should be used. Preferably automobiles and trucks should be excluded from all pedestrian-accessible areas, with pay-to-park lots attached to roads near populated areas.

Think Disney World, where you drive on the highway to get there, then park and walk/ride or use the public transit system.

* Which ones should be allowed on main roads?

Road systems should be re-engineered to class traffic by use and size. Large arteries would be used for heavy, high-speed motor vehicle traffic, smaller roads would be converted to light vehicle and foot traffic, with segregation for relatively high-speed commuters.

* Which ones could use an on-road bicycle lane amongst traffic?

Only those that are not human powered (again, exercising in exhaust is very bad for one's health).

* Which ones could use an off-road bicycle path in your local park?

Depends on what other infrastructure is available and how the bicycle path is set up. In general, anything that is no wider than the lanes of the path, does not produce exhaust while on the path and does not exceed the safe speed for the path.

* Which ones should get free entry into congestion charging zones?

Depends on the zone. Any vehicle in sufficient quantity can cause congestion.

* Which ones require dedicated parking spaces?

All of them, though not necessarily in the same locations. Vehicles that are not given parking consideration are marginalized.

* Which ones would you feel safe in?

Depends on infrastructure.

* Which ones should you be able to carry on a train?

Depends on the train.

* Which ones should be taxed, and which ones subsidised?

Taxes and subsidies should be used to balance traffic between mediums as necessary to encourage efficient movement of people and infrastructure creation.

* Which ones should 'bicycle' advocacy groups support?

Bicycles, one would presume. Whether they class hybrid human-electrics or pure electrics as bicycles would depend on the group and their particular goals.

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I think it is clear that what is needed is a separate communting system with design principles similar to limited-access highways (with overpasses, lanes, access ramps and limited grades), but away from exhaust-spewing engines. This would allow movement of light, low-powered vehicles over intermediate distances at relatively high speed, without the danger of encountering pedestrians or other slower moving traffic.
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No no no! How are you going to fit all this into a city? It will never get properly built, and all you will achieve is an excuse for the planners, lobby groups and law-makers to ban bicycles from the roads!

Improve the existing roads for multi-mode use. Lower speed limits. Improve legal support for cyclists. But more importantly (and more difficult), change attitudes and behaviours to support sharing the roads.

Exhaust is not as big a problem as you think. A study found that air quality is worse INSIDE the car than for a cyclist.

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No no no! How are you going to fit all this into a city? It will never get properly built, and all you will achieve is an excuse for the planners, lobby groups and law-makers to ban bicycles from the roads!
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It won't fit now because we cram roads for cars in everywhere. I'm proposing eliminating motor vehicle access to many roads in favor of HPV access.

No, we can't do it now because most people just don't get depletion. They think that we can go on with using private motor vehicles for each citizen.

My opinion is that this will not work in the future. It will be too expensive. The space will become available.

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Exhaust is not as big a problem as you think. A study found that air quality is worse INSIDE the car than for a cyclist.
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I ride on the roads, I breath the exhaust. I don't need studies to tell me that deep, heavy breathing while sitting in a cloud of exhaust from the cars waiting with me at a stoplight are doing me more harm than the shallow, sedentary breaths I would be taking if I were breathing the same air while sitting in a car.

However, if you would like studies that say that, they are available.

Anecdotally, I can tell the difference between when I ride or drive to work just from the taste of exhaust in my mouth that is left after a ride (on the roads, the bike paths are better).

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It won't fit now because we cram roads for cars in everywhere. I'm proposing eliminating motor vehicle access to many roads in favor of HPV access.
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Ah ok, that makes sense. But if the number of private cars on the roads has dropped heavily post-peak, there may be no need to ban them from some roads. Why not just lower the speed limit?

I've ridden on roads crammed with bicycles, some motor scooters and very few cars. This was Hanoi in 1996. As in most Asian cities, the road rules operated a bit differently to developed Western countries. More like a school of fish - you always give way to the person in front. The policing system was different too. The cop on the corner had a stick, and if you ran a red light, he hit you with it on the way past! This may also be feasible with manpower surplus post-peak...

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I ride on the roads, I breath the exhaust. I don't need studies to tell me that deep, heavy breathing while sitting in a cloud of exhaust from the cars waiting with me at a stoplight are doing me more harm than the shallow, sedentary breaths I would be taking if I were breathing the same air while sitting in a car.
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Wow, where do you ride? Are there lots of 2-stroke motors around or something? Here in Melbourne my commute is along roads filled with cars, often going at the same speed as them. Many stop lights and stop-go traffic. No symptoms whatever!

I think it is clear that what is needed is a separate communting system with design principles similar to limited-access highways (with overpasses, lanes, access ramps and limited grades), but away from exhaust-spewing engines. This would allow movement of light, low-powered vehicles over intermediate distances at relatively high speed, without the danger of encountering pedestrians or other slower moving traffic.

I was just thinking of the same thing a few days ago. I totally agree! I ride to work most days in London at a fast clip, dodging cars, taxis, and busses, over speed bumps, religiously stopping at the many lights, often taking the lane to avoid getting cut off at corners by trucks/lorries, and jumping off the line fast enough that I beat the taxis to the next speed bump :-} However, I know that many people are not strong enough to do this.

Despite the attempt to provide cycle lanes in London, I often avoid them because (1) they often don't have 'stop ahead' bays so you are in the path of a left-turning car and have to cross traffic to turn right, (2) pedestrians often cross the bike lanes without looking, (3) a two-way bike lane on one side of the street suddenly turns into a one-way, (4) I am further out of the sight of cars which is fine in the bike lane but very dangerous when it ends, (5) they often flood, (6) it is dangerous to pass, and (7) cars and esp. delivery trucks routinely park in the bike lane, completely blocking it.

In looking at London traffic and imagining how 10x or 100x or 1000x as many bicycles could be accomodated, two things become apparent. First, all cyclists would have to respect the lights. Second, the overall speed would probably go down even more. Third, it would be even more dangerous (though perhaps not as deadly) for pedestrians.

To make communting from longer distances with a battery powered bicycle more efficient, I think we could use a smallish number of limited access, higher speed, bikes-only freeways. Batteries are improving and a 30 mph commuting bike is already a reality. Being able to maintain 25-30 mph across a substantial stretch of the city would make bicycle commuting from intermediate distances of 8-15 miles much more practical and enjoyable. It would take practice -- like the practice people need to be able to safely drive on a car freeway. And finally, people who wanted to hammer along unassisted would be happy, too.

These are great ideas. I wonder though, my Chevy Metro, 1000 cc, was discontinued in 2001, due to small size and not enough power, and it is not yet back. Most people will have trouble descending and stooping to a 1000 cc or 800 cc car, let alone a bicycle of some sort. Many people will keep that gigantic gas hog pick-up or SUV or 4X4 "off the road" windshield cowboy vehicle at 10-20 MPG til hell freezes over and we all die.

Small cars are well established over here (UK). We have a Matiz, which is a 900cc engine, and it comes with aircon, power steering, CD etc. Granted it is a bit tight with 3 in the back seat but it takes 4 adults ok. I was overtaken by one a few weeks back as I did 80mph on the M5.

Longboards are skateboards with larger wheels that are ideal for getting places or commuting. They use much less material than a bicycle and they're easier to carry. Check out this video to see longboards in action. Here in Vancouver you can see guys in business suits riding longboards to work.

Your comment about a future "bi-modal size distribution of vehicles" caused me to realize that if this polarization of vehicle sizes does occur in the future that it will be because of a strong need to increase vehicle energy efficiency.

So the solution will be MUCH LOWER SPEED LIMITS because the light passenger vehicles will not be capable of higher speeds AND the big cargo trucks that are somewhat efficient because of the large loads they can haul will be even more efficient when they drive much slower. Maybe 40mph will be the future speed limit?

As for bikes, I have a Xtracycle cargo bike. It is great! It will haul 4 bags of groceries, or a passenger, or even long garden tools when I go do a demo for my tool business.

Greg in MO

Hi,

3 wheeled enclosed bicycles AKA velomobiles are already here! Here is a website by a Minnesotan devoted to enclosed bicycles. And for those of you who are unfamilar with Minnesotan winters, they can be very very cold.

http://www.velomobiling.com

The author of this website has pictures of over 10 velomobiles displayed and a tutorial on building an Alleweder. The speed record for a velomobile is about 80 mph so the fairing not only makes the vehicle comfortable in inclemental weather but FASTER.

Some of the velomobiles have electric assists. Here is one going 45 mph.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3WgMIVIJlyc

Right now the cost of a good velomobile is in the thousands but then again, so is a good racing bike. There is no reason that they shouldn't be available for around $500 if the economies of scale were invested in.

Charles

I know someone who has a Velomobile, since she can't drive. She rides/drives it around in Santa Clara, California traffic which is pretty hectic. She has the assist on it, and can go pretty quick. She also has flags on it, reflectors, as she puts it, "lt looks like the circus has come to town" lol.

People on recumbent bikes really need a flag, and when I used a bike trailer I always had my "dork flag" on there because otherwise the trailer's not visible to a lot of drivers, if one of 'em cuts in behind me turning or something, crunch.

"She has the assist on it, and can go pretty quick. She also has flags on it, reflectors, as she puts it, "lt looks like the circus has come to town" lol."

It all depends on how she does it. She needs to go mod and ride with Jimmy, Monkey, Steff, Chalky, Ferdie, Spider, Dave and the Ace Face.

http://www.movingimageposters.com/images/quadrophenia_97_quad.jpg

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ48X9EQxck

There is no reason why the velomobiles couldn't be Mod cool instead of Techno geeky.

Charles

Agreed! On my present bike I look like a Harley wannabee, but the windshield and saddlebags came with it, and they're functional. Yet the jacket I wear is a "ricky racer" -ish jacket a sportbike rider is more likely to wear - if they're on a budget and can't afford one with garish colors that is lol. I wear "pro rodeo" Wrangler jeans, because they're good for bike riding. And Doc Martens, low-quarter with white socks, so what the hell AM I trying to be? LOL.

Truly, I think the Mod scene is cool. And for some real coolness, check out something called the 'Moped Army' on YouTube, there's a song there called "drop a kit on it" or something close to that, hilarious stuff.

Yo!

"throw a kit on it"

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w_kIUSr7-is

"If the headlight goes out, just jiggle the cord...."

I can't watch more than 90 seconds before I have to turn it off.

I'm more of a scooterist and sadly, neither I nor my Zundapp made it into this video.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=20E6oyl_GZQ

Are you concerned about making a fashion statement or do you want to get from point A to point B, preferably in one piece?

"Are you concerned about making a fashion statement or do you want to get from point A to point B, preferably in one piece?"

Funny you should mention that because the mod scene was all about being seen. The extra front and rear lights, multiple turn signals, racy paint jobs, flags on whip aerials, and multiple mirrors enhanced the visibility of the rider. A mod scoot is going to be seen better than an all black streetfighter-crotch rocket and probably going to get you from point A to point B preferably in one piece.

In style to boot!

"Fashion. We are the goon squad and we're coming to town. Beep beep!"
David Bowie - Fashion.

But seriously, design and fashion are so important. A safety device is only good if people use it. There is no real reason why safe equipment can't look nice. That's just a matter of effort, the ability of the designer and the standard of quality. Turn signals on cars are a great example. Compare the ugly but functional turnsignals on the back of a car from the 1970's and 1980's with the same structures today or in the 1950's. The turn signals of today have as much visibility and "surface" area as those in a Chrysler K car from 1985 but look much better. Why make people look like dorks and discourage them from taking the proper precautions?

When I ride my scoot, I use a Shoei full face helmet. I wouldn't ride without it. It's comfortable, DOT & SNELL approved, it also looks great. I cringe when I go to Wisconsin and see all the RYDERS without any helmet. It makes me squirm.

So, think safety and FASHION!

Keep the shiny side up!

Charles

'Why make people look like dorks and discourage them from taking the proper precautions?'

If you are riding around on a motorscooter, with or without a helmet, you already look like a dork...Without any urging from me.

'design and fashion are so important'

design is important, fashion is not...And, it will be less important as time passes and FF becomes more scarce.

'the mod scene is all about being seen'

Well, you are about 45 years from the 'mod scene' and it was a Brit affair. I did not see any mods at the Ace Cafe in London on my visits there...And, if you were'nt at the Ace, you were no where.

SontagC,

Right on!

The MN Velomobilers are friends and sometimes clients of mine in my "Sustainable Household Helper" eco-business!

They have a page on "rethinking transportation that just rocks!

http://www.velomobiling.com/transportation?PHPSESSID=cb1deb54f00d140d5c8...

They have a photo of me with one of my Organic Engines SUVs just past midway down the page by the "When You Can't Do It By Bike" section.

But first note the "Transportation Matrix" images uptop -- much like those that Phil Hart noted in his own superb essay here on TOD.

Wonderful people, wonderful neighborhoods, wonderful possibilities are there for us if we apprehend and choose them.

I'm looking at an electric vehicle because my body tires of hauling 200-400 pounds of tools every day. I'm looking at the Zap Xebra and the E-ride machines.

Doctor Hart is on the right track, here. One of the best posts I've seen on TOD -- and I've seen a number of superb essays posted to TOD!

Rock on!

thanks Beggar and everyone else for all the enthusiastic comments. good to know the work is appreciated :-)

cheers
phil

In a future where petroleum supplies are declining while populations are still growing, burning gas or diesel for personal transportation will rapidly become an indulgence that only the very rich can support. However that middle class will not go quietly to the back of the bus. Mass transit will definately grow substantially in a post peak world however people will also still want options for peronal mobility.

I beleive velomobiles with electric assist will become the best option for a large swath of the middle class. The more alternative type vehicles start clogging up the roads, the sooner people will learn to co-exist with them. In cities with the highest use of bicycles, the rates of cycling fatalities are the lowest.

The future of personal transportation will include any and all human powered options that are available and affordable to a significant percentage of the population when they are forced by economics or rationing to park their ICE vehicle forever.

I've written a bit on the future of personal transportation (Velomobility) and IMHO velomobiles and electric vehicles will eventually converge into a single market. What that will look like is anyone's guess.

Electric bikes seem a bit overrated to me.

They have a range of only about 20 miles, and that's at the limit of battery power. Rechargeable batteries generally shouldn't be depleted beyond 50% on a regular basis, so you're really talking about 10 miles. Still, maybe that's fine for the majority of electric bike uses. A network of trains is much more effective, however.

The Smart car is also overrated. It's only a little smaller than a typical European hatchback, except the hatchback seats four and has luggage space while the Smart car does not. The price is about the same. It's a little easier to park, but that's not much advantage. I'd rather have a 75mpg 4-door Audi A2.

As for the "daily commute," trains beat all comers for distances over 3 miles.

trains for distances over 3 miles? are you kidding? only if the train station is less than 2 blocks and comes every minute.

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Electric bikes seem a bit overrated to me.
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Do you use one? Or are you basing your opinion on how you imagine you might use one?

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They have a range of only about 20 miles, and that's at the limit of battery power. Rechargeable batteries generally shouldn't be depleted beyond 50% on a regular basis, so you're really talking about 10 miles. Still, maybe that's fine for the majority of electric bike uses. A network of trains is much more effective, however.
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For a small battery pack, yes. If you need more range you can add more batteries. However, when you are talking about a 10-20 mile commute on a bicycle, you're talking about, typically, spending as much as two hours commuting (depending on how high you can keep your average speed).

If you live that far from work you really should consider either moving or getting job closer to home. Because of the cheapness of energy it's become habit to think of 20 miles as being nearby. In fact, that's quite a large distance. Most cities are smaller than that.

I agree that if you are regularly traveling distances of 10 to 20 miles you'd be better off on a train (provided you could find one, they are rare beasts in North America).

Commuter trains only work in very high population density areas and then they have limits in how often they run and how close they take you to your destination.

Electric bikes and small cars take you from where you start to where you want to go.

Commuter trains offer no energy efficiency advantage over electric scooters. The opposite is the case.

Which of these vehicle types do you think we should have more of?
- All of them! You could have added a horse, a recumbent and a rickshaw (trishaw/ becak) too, for completeness. :-)

Which ones should be allowed on main roads?
- I think the access laws are about right here in Victoria, Australia. Bicycles are roadworthy vehicles. Allowed on all roads except toll-roads and some high-speed freeways. Some other human-powered vehicles are classed as “bicycles” too. You need brakes, a bell, reflectors and lights at night. You’re not allowed to ride on footpaths (sidewalks) unless you’re under 12 years old, or accompanying a child.

Which ones could use an on-road bicycle lane amongst traffic?
- An on-road bicycle lane is a traffic lane on the road. I don’t think it’s a good idea for non-roadworthy vehicles to use them.
- It’s unlikely you’ll be able to complete a practical transport trip exclusively on dedicated bicycle lanes. For example, most homes are unlikely to ever have a dedicated bike lane going past them. Turning right (across the traffic) often requires you to leave the bike lane. If the bike lane is in the door zone of parked cars, it may be safer to use the next lane over.
- Most bike lanes are good, but still no real substitute for skills and experience riding with other traffic.

Which ones could use an off-road bicycle path in your local park?
- I think all the narrow ones, that don’t have a internal combustion engine (ICE)

Which ones should get free entry into congestion charging zones?
- All of them!

Which ones require dedicated parking spaces?
- Well, for all of them, dedicated parking spaces are more of a luxury than a necessity. I would certainly support converting car spaces to motorbike and bicycle spaces, under cover if possible. And change the planning laws that require new developments to provide heaps of car spaces. Here, motorbikes often park on the footpath (sidewalk). The .gov tried to make them stop it, but the bikers protested by taking up all the on-road car parking spaces one day! So they got their way.

Which ones would you feel safe in?
- I’ve commuted on roads on a bicycle for 20 years. Knocked off once, injured my wrist once. From the Aussie fatality stats I’ve seen, by choosing a workplace 10km away and cycling, my risk is similar to a motorist commuting 60 km, a risk many accept. A British study showed that as an impact on lifespan, the benefits of cycling on roads outweighed the risks by 20 to 1. I feel safe enough.

Which ones should you be able to carry on a train?
- The rules here allow bicycles, including electric assist but not with an ICE. Seems reasonable to me. It would be nice if the trams (trolley cars) and busses had some allowance for bikes too. There is always the option of a folding bike.

Which ones should be taxed, and which ones subsidised?
- I’d apply a luxury tax on high-value vehicles with an ICE and also ratchet up taxes on the fuel.

Which ones should 'bicycle' advocacy groups support?
- I think it’s stretching a bit too far for bicycle advocacy groups to support electric cars and electric motor-bikes. Human-powered and motor-assist should do it.

What would your local transport planner say?
- Although the legal framework is pretty good here, the devil is in the details. Roads and suburbs are designed for motorists, private carparks force cyclists to dismount, driver training ignores awareness of bicycles, etc etc.

Hey, you missed the question about road registration!! Motorists often complain that bicycles are allowed on the roads without registration. What they miss is that the registration doesn’t pay for the roads, it covers the Traffic Accident Commission costs (which provides health care for accidents involving a motorised vehicle) and it’s own administration. Effectively, the reason you need a driving licence and vehicle registration is the same reason you need a firearms licence and gun registration (in Australia anyway) – both are deadly items. The damage caused by bicycles (or horses) is minimal by comparison to motor vehicles.

Outlaw cars, bikes rule!!!

I am hopefully getting a test ride on this tomorrow:

http://www.vectrix.com/Portal/1/Language/47/Page/1/Home_(US).aspx

They are quite expensive however they do have some advantages -

'Outstanding Performance

* Fast – A top speed of 62 mph (100 km/h).
* Rapid Acceleration - 0-50 mph (96 km/h) in 6.8 seconds.
* Extended Range – Up to 68 miles (110 km) on a single charge (average speed of 25 mph (40 km/h). The patented throttle-activated regenerative braking system (DAaRT™) helps to extend range by up to 12% by redirecting energy back into the battery during braking.
* Excellent Handling – A low center of gravity, a stiff frame, and even weight distribution provide superior handling. "

$11,000 ? Are you kidding me?

I'd rather pay twice that and buy an Aptera ( www.aptera.com )

EntropyBrain - "I'd rather pay twice that and buy an Aptera"

So would I however you cannot buy what is not available. This is the only electric vehicle that is available in Australia.

Yeah, it appears it is at least a $3000 premium over the top end Honda Scooters and its performance is comparable to the much cheaper 4-stroke scooters.

However, I expected in the next 3-5 years the prices will move much closer to parity as economies of scale start to kick in.

My wife and I purchased a matching set of these over the summer and went about 400 miles in about 2 months.

http://www.giant-bicycles.com/_upload_us/bikes/models/brochure//2008/FCR...

However, there are very limited opportunities for me to substitute auto mileage with the bike. I can ride to my gym, to get a haircut, and to Wal-Mart for very small purchases; however, nothing else is within a practical ride for non-cardio purposes(sub 5 miles).

And since it was 5°F yesterday and snow/icy (Columbus, Ohio), it is difficult to imagine being able to commute with a bike regularly even if I didn't live 26 miles from my job.

The future will be interesting.

I wonder if there are enough resources to create electric bicycles, never mind electric cars, for a majority of the world's population. China created 20m electric bikes last year, using 400,000 tons of lead, and the price of lead has hit an all time high. 20m bikes might sound like a lot, but it's still less than a third of a percent the total population of the earth.

See article here.

There's a proven reserve of 140 billion tons of lead according to the USGS so the Chinese used 1/35,000th of it to make bikes for a third a percent the total population of earth. Most lead in the US is recycled. In China probably not. I got a lithium battery on my bicycle. Lead acid doesn't have the specific impulse for good range.

Actually, the Jan. 2007 world "reserve base" for lead was 140 MILLION (not billion) tons and "proven reserves" are less than half of that (67 million tons). "Proven reserves" are, in general, blocks of ore that have been completely drilled out and are economic at present-day prices. Reference:

http://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/commodity/lead/lead_mcs07.pdf

That's still quite a lot of lead for batteries, especially considering that most of it will be recycled.

Arclite.

Please do not confuse the issues.

Population overrshoot is real with or without electric bikes.

You are so very right to imply that electric bikes and such do not solve the planet's problems all by themselves.

My own guess is that our planet's human population is about to be brutally pruned back.

We need to address the population overshoot issue as humanely as possible in spite of the brutal reality we face -- resource war, disease, starvation, lack of water.

Bikes and electric bikes and such will not deplete the planet. People already have done so.

We need to develop some sustainable ways of getting around in order to maybe help some folks survivew the Bottleneck we find ourselves within.

Address population and consumption overshoot --both -- yes.

Right on Begger.

Right now, "ecologically correct" would mean to ride into town (prescott) mid-day Friday, play guitar/banjo or sketch folks for the weekend, staying overnight at a hotel friday and saturday nights, then come home mid-day Sunday. 25 or 30 miles each way, not bad at all for a seasoned rider. Take it easy the rest of the week around here and type on the innernet or something lol.

No gas at all!

I wonder if there are enough resources....

This is a valid point. China's growth cannot continue for ever. We have just read in the energy bulletin there are long diesel lines for hundreds of trucks in Chongqing, a 10 million city:

http://www.energybulletin.net/37958.html

Moreover, the resource depleting here is the CO2 absorption capacity of the atmosphere.

So some of the electric cycles and vehicles are just gadgets which - if mass-produced, presumably in China - will only worsen global warming as long as the primary energy comes from coal. The traditional bike will give the best km value for the emissions created during its manufacture. The limiting factor for using bikes is locking facilities at rail stations and in the CBD areas for those who live near enough to take a bike to work directly. A massive effort is needed here and we would require technical assistance from the Dutch to do this. Maybe send some RTA engineers on a fact finding mission to Amsterdam.

In some hilly areas, e.g. Northern parts of Sydney, biking will be tough, especially in summer. Car-pooling and/or hitch-hiking there may be the best way to survive the first years of the oil crisis.

But for the overall functionality of our big Capital cities, it will be light rail on all toll-ways and main roads that is required. But we are running out of time to start these projects now. I have just posted this calculation here
http://europe.theoildrum.com/node/3325#comment-272989
showing our car dreams will be over by 2020 if we assume a 30% decline in annual oil production by then.

May I point out the obvious fact that not everyone NEEDS an ELECTRIC bicycle; fit people living on flat land and only going short distances can get along quite well with a conventional bike. For that matter, even in a world totally devoid of automobiles there would still be plenty of people that do not need any sort of bicycle at all; most people have gotten around on their own two feet for most of human history. There will also be people that only need bicycles occasionally, and could be well served by some sort of sharing or rental system.

My guess is that if everyone in the world had an electric bicycle that truly needed one, it would only amount to somewhere between 10-20% of the total population at most, and probably a good deal less.

Nor does everyone need a personal bicycle. Shared bicycles can service many people.

When I stop seeing people driving brand new, mega-sized SUVs, pickups, and off-road thisis-and-thats, then I'll start thinking about gas-saving transport. Where you and you live, it might seem a great idea, but around here people are killed almost daily riding bicycles to work, and apparently the vehicles doing the deed are so big that the drivers don't even notice, since a majority of the accidents seem to involve a hit and run. For all practical purposes, give me a 5 gal-per-mile Sherman tank, that is until we are ALL forced to adopt more reasonably-sized vehicles. Oh, and since I live in the Pacific Northwest, when that more reasonable time comes, you can offer me a vehicle with a cover on it--it's the rain, you know...

>>When I stop seeing people driving brand new, mega-sized SUVs, pickups, and off-road thisis-and-thats, then I'll start thinking about gas-saving transport.<<

I couldn't agree more. I'd love to be riding around on a scooter for the longer errands or just riding my bike for the 2-3 mile errands, but there is no way I'm getting close to a road on anything smaller than what the idiots are driving. Once gas hits $7 or $8 a gallon, I suspect all those Expeditions, Excursion, Tahoes, etc. will be parked in driveways and once those 3000 pound vulgar monstrosities go away, then I'll be on the interstate riding a 60 mpg Suzuki Burgman or Yamaha Majesty. But until that day comes...forget it. We need this correction. Oh man do we ever need it.

Celcicoil and aquagreen - This is definately Huge Pick-Up Truck Country. But, there's quite a traffic mix. People ride these little quads they have a lot, a lot of folks live 2-3 miles out from the town like they do, and they'll use those for their errands - generally staying off of the main road, Route 89, and just crossing it - they take parallel roads like Road 1 West or something, which are generally 25 MPH speed limit. You see people walking, biking, yes even some Spandex warriors out here, people on horses (more for fun than function but that will change) and Harleys are very popular. So while the default vehicle is the big ugly pickup truck, which I'm guilty of going around in too, people even here are used to a lot of different types of vehicles.

You know, it's really not the size of the vehicles as far as I'm concerned - it's the drivers. We have so much excess in this country and as a result, privileges have become rights; God given rights at that. Kid turns 16 and gets B's on his or her public school report card, then get them a car...they're responsible to be in a car with their friends, right? Of course, Mom and Dad need to finance it. Welfare recipient? No problem. Here in the Land of Excess there is financing for anyone! Convicted gang banger? No problem! Driving in America is a right, especially if your vehicle burns a gallon every ten miles. I'd have no problem riding around on a Yamaha FZ6 sport bike (50 mpg) or a moped if it weren't for all the total idiots driving in their 3000 pound behemoths. Oh Lordy is there going to be a silver lining to $10 gas.

I wish I lived in a country so rich that they could afford to give cars to children of welfare recipients. Besides rich welfare recipients, that is.

There is a difference between 'rich' and willing to go into debt.

http://www.house.gov/apps/list/press/wi04_moore/pr120505.html

This legislation would establish a 5-year, $50 million grant program through which states, localities, and nonprofits could apply for funding to strengthen existing low-income car ownership programs or create new ones. Studies show that people are more likely to find steady employment and earn a decent wage when they have access to a car.

There is a difference between 'rich' and willing to go into debt.

http://www.house.gov/apps/list/press/wi04_moore/pr120505.html

This legislation would establish a 5-year, $50 million grant program through which states, localities, and nonprofits could apply for funding to strengthen existing low-income car ownership programs or create new ones. Studies show that people are more likely to find steady employment and earn a decent wage when they have access to a car.

I would really advise against anyone attempting to commute on a bicycle of any type on any road exceeding 35mph/55kph, and/or after dark. It is still just too dangerous. I would also advise mounting one of those large orange "slow moving vehicle" triangle signs on a rear basket, wearing some sort of vest or jacket with reflective tape on it, and have lights on both front and rear, even during the daytime; looking rediculous is preferable to looking good in a casket. Finally, I would advise against attempting a turn across traffic lanes (L in R-hand traffic lands, R in L-hand traffic countries) unless you have first stopped, looked in all directions, and verified that the road is truly devoid of traffic; this may require stopping and waiting for quite a few minutes, but the time lost will be as nothing compared to the months that you would be laid up after an accident -- IF you even survive. Mapping a route that minimizes cross-traffic turns and avoids heavy-traffic roads is definitely wise, even if it results in a longer route.

Even then, it depends on the road. Some roads with 55mph speed limits have wide shoulders and few entrances/exits, and to me they are quite suitable for cycling.

I think you're over-generalising. In some conditions it's safe to ride with traffic on roads with those speed limits, merge to turn across traffic lanes etc. I often do it. Google "vehicular cycling" or check out:
http://www.bikexprt.com/streetsmarts/usa/index.htm

Check out:

www.aptera.com

-they aim to start commercial production next year, its a low drag body shell surrounding a lithium powered 3 wheeler. The company started out making bikes to echo the idea of a comment above.

300mpg? Well, depends entirely on usage. I think we are going to need a new measure for these hybrid PHEVs, any thoughts?

Nick.

Their site's linked above.

From Wiki = "According to the pre-order page, Aptera Motors has set the price at US$26 900 for the all-electric Typ-1e, and US$29 900 for the plug-in hybrid Typ-1h."

Well they wont even attract my interest if they are too stupid to design a website that does not insist on installing crap on my PC

I love the thought of electric bikes. I want one! I rode a regular pedal bike whenever possible during the first 40 years of life, now my body has gone out of warrranty for 17 years and am physically unable to (disability). An electric would be the bees' knees. If they come down in price some, I'll get one - though I live in a hilly area so it would need some pulling power.

Electric bikes seem a great answer for the old or disabled, as a reasonable alternative to euthanasia. Riding one where I am right now would tread the middle ground: it would be suicide among the idiots in giant cars and trucks.

A disabled friend in Las Vegas rides a recumbent trike (non-motorized) but has lost some of the use of his muscles and wil be adding an electric motor. His modest suggestion - which rather fits with the Nevada culture - is that it should be made legal for people on bikes to open fire with a handgun on any large vehicle which crowds them. I can't see this being made law in most other places and in Las Vegas it's nearly redundant... but in terms of "danger parity" I can see his point. Who would crowd a bicycle if the granny on it was packing heat and could legally use it? They'd probably get a full ten carlengths of courtesy space.

I have an Electric Bike already. 450 Watt motor, top speed about 15 mph. but needs pedal assist to climb hills.

I also have a 49 cc Gas-engine scooter. It gets 93 MPG , with atop spee of 35.

and Finally I have an aging (1997) Saturn Wagon driven less than 1000 miles in the last year, that gets about 30 MPG, if I need to haul significant things.

the Scooter is my daily driver. As I'm less than 10 miles from a Nuclear plant, electricity will be a given for the next 40 years. I plan to see about a more powerful electric in the near future

I didn't see any of these on the list - seems like a good set of balloon tires and a big basket with electric stuff underneath would make a fine ride for the discerning older person who is allergic to falls.



Two Retards

Workman Cycles makes adult trikes like that, they've been making bicycles for work environments (think LARGE factories and such places) since Ignatz Schwinn was racing motorcycles.

Not sure about getting Workman bikes outside the US, sorry.

Yes.

More lead. We need to distribute lead as far and wide as possible. Then, once we develop other technologies involving lithium, which will suffer the same peak as oil, Sodium Nickel Chloride which is a known carcinogen, and Zinc Air batteries, don't forget a free zinc ion in solution is highly toxic to plants, invertebrates, and even vertebrate fish, we can complete the utter destruction of the planet.

And, the best part is, we get to ride around on little clown vehicles and go, "Weeeeeeeee!"

God bless our ability to develop "solutions."

Cherenkov, I usually appreciate your reality checks, but this is getting too negative even for me. Don't you think e-bikes are far better than the auto-centric status quo?

Every car out there has a battery bigger than the one needed for an e-bike. And just the manufacturing of the car causes far more emissions than an ebike could ever approach in its lifetime. Lead (or other chemicals) in batteries can be recycled.

Indeed. However, I don't recommend actually using a car battery on your electric bike unless you have a very low center of gravity. I tried, and it's.. well, let's just say it's more exciting than you would anticipate.

What about wind? If one can pedal a bike 25 mph and one is heading into gusty 25 mph headwinds it can be a very long and tiresome trip. What happens to a bike with a 'bubble' or fairing in a gusty 25 mph crosswind? One could be blown off a bridge or overpass or just into a ditch full of water. What about a 25 mph tailwind? One could go very fast but will the bike have enough brakes for quick stops with high tailwinds?
Some motorscooters in the 1950s were equipped with a windshield and then a plexi roof was connected to the windshield. It didnt work because in rain the contraption worked like a vacuum, soaking the rider. The roof worked ok as long as one was at a stop...but that isnt the point is it?
Electric bikes may have applications where they will get it done but not in todays traffic. Then there is the small problem of tires...How much tire surface does one need to be in contact with the road to make safe turns on wet, oily roads? Can one navigate across wet RR tracks that cut across the roadway at a sharp angle? If the back gets loose can one drift it and gather it back in? If the front end washes out can one get the back end out and gather it back in? Can one handle some road rash? If tires are too narrow they can fall into cracks parallel in the road surface and send one off 'high side'. If tire diameter is too small one can hit a large pot hole and go high side over the handle bars...it happened to me when I was 13 and still riding Cushman Eagles. In fact everything that I mentioned above has happened to me, more than once.
I have been riding two wheelers for over 50 years, mostly motorcycles of every description, and there is nothing like a good solid, heavy motorcycle that will keep up with or outrun traffic. Harley has been making cycles over 100 years, they know what they are doing, one can ride a Harley anywhere a road goes, and I have. The stock Dunlop tires that come on Harleys are the heart of the machine. The rest of a Harley is designed around the Dunlops. The fools that buy Harleys and then put gigantic tires on them are destroying what makes the machine a marvel...and, they dont even know it. One can ride a Harley at 90+ mph in a driving rain and be perfectly safe while 4 wheelers beside you are hydroplaning...One could do a lot worse than a Harley.

River this is where I come out and admit, I really want a harley someday when I can afford one. The things are eternal, ones made in the 1930s still putt around here, many as daily riders. A Harley can be made quite light, down in the 300-lb range, and there are tons of Americans who know how to build frames, parts, etc. They are the "eternal bike" in this country.

Fleam, you might want to stick to a stock Harley with stock steering geometry, stock wheel base, and stock tires. I dont like to repeat myself but Harley knows what they are doing when they design and build a motorcycle. I know a lot of guys building frames, extended front ends, installing S&S look-alike Harley engines and parts but there are a few things these 'custom' bikes do not have...Number one is a Harley title so if and when you want to trade or sell the custom it is worth little on the market. Number two, a custom bike built by a custom shop is built to look good, not to take one from Miami to Fairbanks and back. Customs can be reliable but generally speaking, they are not. Number three is that these custom bikes are not safe in conditions where a Harley will be. I have owned well over 40 motorcycles and have ridden and used many more. I once had a 750 Honda with an extended girder front end and hard tail frame...a B to B bike strictly (bar to bar). If I attempted a 200 mile ride on that thing it would beat the whey out of me even when I was 25 years old!...And, I was a guy that had a AMA Novice ticket riding flat track competition when I was sixteen. Dont waste your money on a 300lb Harley wannabe chopper. Get yourself something practical. Any motorcycle that weighs less than about 450 lb is too light to be practical for distance riding. This includes the 3 Triumph Bonnies, 2 Norton Commandos, 2 750 Hondas, 2 Ducati 750s, a 900 Kawi, 2 1100 Kawis, 2 Moto Parillias, a 1100 Yammy shaft drive (marginal), a Norton Atlas, and many more, that I have owned. IMO 450-650lb is the right weight range for a bike to give a comfortable all day ride covering 500-800 miles. Anything less will beat you up. BTW, any bike without some sort of luggage system, like saddlebags, is useless except as a bar hopper and on long rides a windshield is a must. I have a Fat Boy that I ride around town without a windshield but on the road I use a totally rebuilt Road King cop bike...Its been lots of places. But the Fat Boy, with windshield and bags took me to Laconia NH and then into Canada in 2005. It was a good ride...4,400 miles.
I am not saying that motorized bicycles, gas or electric, will never be practical. If some of the cages were off the road they would be safe. They are not safe in traffic that is moving more than 25-30mph and are definitely not safe at night.

Sheesh.
Unmotorized bicycles are so unsafe that
billions have figured out how to enjoy them.
500,000 km later I can count accidents with
injury on fingers of one hand and nothing worse
than broken collarbone. I have had worse
injuries walking.

'I have had worse injuries walking'.

FOMALOL...Yeah, if you are so clumsy while walking that it results in broken bones, you certainly need a bicycle. Perhaps it should have fenders and roll bars?

'oldhippie'? So, you were born about 1950 and turned 18 about 1968? ...And you have ridden 350 thousand miles? That would mean you have ridden 7,446 miles per year since age 10? If so, that would mean that you have ridden 143.2 miles per week for 52 weeks per year resulting in an average of 20 miles per day? Come rain, sleet, snow, hail or high water? Man, when did you find time to fix your flats? LOL. Me thinks you have a mendacious nature. Of course you could have done a couple of 70+ mile rides on Sat and Sun each week. That would be 52 weeks per year. Sorry, not buying that one either. Perhaps you are counting tricycle time?

Methinks you are capable neither of metric
conversion nor of even simple arithmetic.
Better stay on the Harley.

And why are a few 25,000k years so
unfathomable? Why are 250k weekends, even now
beyond an old man? Because fatsos on Harleys
couldn't do it?

All my bicycles, all spare parts, all
accessories in 48 years of riding together
weigh less than just one of your phallic
toys. Were safer. Never burned gas.

Some of us ride bikes to differentiate
ourselves from those who talk trash about
things they know nothing of. Find a hog site
and leave the cyclists alone.

And when I get a flat I'm rolling again in 2
to 5 minutes. Hogs call a tow. Or Mommy.

You really want me to laugh at you? OK...HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

Happy now?

So my math was a little off and you are a bit older than I estimated. That leaves you out of the 'old hippie' group. You are a wannabe 'old hippie'. Did you ride your bicycle to rock concerts? To Woodstock. Real hippies packed into well used phone company vans or rode their motorcycles to concerts and for 'road trips'. Hey, if you can even remember the 60s, you are not an old hippie.

I see lots of 'fatsos' riding around on bicycles while I do my daily 3.5 mile walk. I have lived in the same home since 1987 and those guys are getting bigger while my weight has remained the same, and, I am not fat.

Let me know when you complete a 4,400 mile or 14,000 mile road trip on your bicycle. I am aware of the RAM, one of the competitors lives a few miles from me. I know how all the competitors in that race use 'sag wagons' to keep them going. I respect their devotion to what they do and the training that they go through. I have a Raleigh with 25 inch frame that I have completely rebuilt by me several times. I dont think anyone still makes a 25 in bike frame with mid size tires. I seldom use it for I find that walking is a better exercise routine for me...maybe not for everyone. While I still lived on beach side I rode that bike almost every day, usually covering about 16 miles, between the babes and the ocean, well, it dont get any better...and, traffic was not a consideration because of the 10mph speed limit.

Riding a Norton to a bar? Yeah, I have done that. I have gone to a lot of bars on bikes and will continue to do so. I didnt say that I ride to a bar and get plastered. But, I suppose that you dont ever have a beer during a bicycle ride? Yeah, some old hippie. How about old frat? Bit closer to the mark?

I dont appreciate a guy like you that tries to put down people that have been riding motorcycles over 50 years, saving gas through all those years. To put in 500,000 miles on a motorcycle is a lot of riding. I dont believe that you have done 500,000 km on a bicycle. There are a lot of bs artists in the world, especially on the internet...and, when I have a flat I lay the bike down and insert plug, air with cartridge, gone in 10 minutes. I use only tubless tires on mag rims.

You wanna 'differentiate' yourself from others? Fine. But, dont attempt to tell me where I can post and what I can say because I dont happen to believe your rediculous claims. I would love to see you show up at the Iron Horse or the Boot Hill and tell the bikers that you are an old hippie and have ridden 500,000km...They would laugh you out of the place.

Of course they still make 25 inch frames.
You are completely out of touch.

I started with a serious post, Riding a
bicycle is dangerous the same way getting out
of bed is dangerous. Does it create lots of
opportunities for being stupid? Sure. Does
traffic scare new riders? Sure. Is there any
unusual danger? No.

If you. River, want to do something dumb,
expensive, and dangerous why don't you go get
a young woman instead of preening and playing
with boy's toys?

If you want to question my veracity you had
better start with knowing units of measure.
Your credibility this time is zero.

Someone who rides Nortons and has used them
for bar hopping wants to talk safety?

Sure, laugh at me.

Cherenkov, I will only ride around on one of those 'clown vehicles' if it comes with a squeez bulb horn...like the one Clara Bell had in the Howdy Doody shows. BTW, did you think that Mr Greenjeans and Howdy had something going?

Zinc air Batteries? Perhaps contributor enineer-poet will expand on that for ya.

You should add solar powered mobility networks to the list of options:

  • Last Oil Crisis Automated guideways identified as the solution
  • Energy requirements are so low, they can be solar powered
  • Use: 200 watt-hours to travel a mile
  • Collect: 2.5 million watt-hours/day/mile

So self linking is fine here?

An EV retrofit on a normal sedan is 200 watt-hours per mile. And it uses roads we already have.

While I don't dispute the utility of not having on-grade crossings, as well as the POTENTIAL utility of automated transit (not that we'd ever allow that culturally), the idea that we could make these things anything like as widespread as asphalt already is, and the idea that we could do it cheaply, is a delusion.

PRT is a nightmare to manage, and gets harder the more vehicles are around. By the time you get to 1-2 person vehicles, it's multiple magnitudes more complicated than mass rapid transit or EVs on pavement (due to the constraints of fixed track), and it's not superior to either. Every second you make up for in walking an extra block over rapid transit, you lose in congestion, and every second you make up for in automated point-to-point on the grid, you lose in changing back to your automobile when you exit the grid.

The International Electric Vehicle Symposium and Exposition

Going on now ....

http://www.electricdrive.org/evs23/index.php?tg=articles&topics=214#art1264

Phil Hart

You stated ....
" I can also imagine manufacturer's addding little 'bubble' cages around them soon, to provide weather protection so that the list of reasons not to 'cycle to work' reduces even further."

Well here you go ....

http://www.harveyev.com/bugE/index.shtml

I love being proven right that quickly!

I knew somebody here would know where to find them..

Didn't see any mention of the Twike, which is another Pedal/Electric Three Wheeler in a Bubble (2-seater) .. made currently in Germany.

http://www.twike.com/english_informations.html

Also pricey.. about $10k
but supposed to get 80 miles with the Nimh Batts, 55 with the Nicd's..

Bob

You would pay ten grand for something named a Twike??? Man, for that much money you can buy a great used motorcycle. A real motorcycle that will take you anywhere that a road goes. Twike my #@%*...

No I wouldn't pay that. Just mentioning it so this thread has a pretty full range of the approaches that have been bouncing around..

I do like the concept, (Pedals plus Electric Enclosed, 2-seat)

I don't like the price,

I don't care one way or the other about the name.

But If it bothers Cherenkov enough, I might just put "Twike' in all caps with a few exclamation marks behind it, and drive it past his house, ringing the dingly 50's bell a lot.

I'll build my own.

Bob

www.zeromotorcycles.com
city commuters should have electric vehicals
lithum iron batteries are becoming advailable
maxwell super capacitors are becoming advaible
I would like to convert a city bus to batteries
I would like to build battery powered cars from ford production chassies. the parts are here, the quanties arn't the prices definitly arn't

For a perspective on what can be done in times of need, you only need to look at poorer countries. Their present may be our future:

http://aistigave.hit.bg/Logistics/

Truly amazing pictures of huge loads on small vehicles. Bicycles, rickshaws, bicycle trailers, motorcycles, motor scooters...

With all these transport options, so much for the oft-cited Coming-Doomsday, hey?

We should not be making the assumption IMHO that urban assault vehicles will be dominating the roads for too much longer. My concern is that a fast crash will hit before we get through the red tape and the major shift in the mind set of Joe and Jane Bloggs required to make this feasible.

We need to let our poli's know that we are concerned about these issues as well as just posting among ourselves! The Greens are on top of this issue, let's get Labor up to speed now.

A quote from the work Senator Milne has been doing... Sorry for the long post but I felt it applies to the topic.

The full Hansard is available here:
http://www.aph.gov.au/hansard/senate/commttee/S9409.pdf

Senator MILNE—I return to the issue of the REVA electric car. I want to follow on from Senator O’Brien’s questions. Mr Robertson [Mr Peter Andrew Robertson, General Manager, Vehicle Safety Standards, Department of Transport and Regional Services], you indicated earlier that the matter went to the state governments in January 2006. I am aware that a couple of state governments were very predisposed to the vehicle and came away from the meeting opposed to it. Did the Commonwealth give any advice to the states in that meeting, either written or verbal, about the safety or acceptability of the vehicle?

...Mr Robertson—When the minister wrote to the states, the minister outlined the requirements for standards that passenger vehicles would need to meet and simply asked whether the states would be prepared to allow an additional category of vehicle that would be able to meet lesser safety standards.

Senator MILNE—When you say ‘lesser safety standards’, was it pointed out that the safety standards have already been assessed in terms of letting those vehicles on the road in Europe, Japan and the UK?

Mr Robertson—I believe the correspondence indicated that the vehicles were available for use on roads in the UK.

Senator MILNE—Was there any reference to the fact that we have mutual recognition of standards?

Mr Robertson—That is not a mutual recognition issue, Senator. As I explained before, the standards are an international category that covers standards within them, and the issue for consideration was simply whether the Australian government would adopt that categorisation within domestic legislation.

Senator MILNE—Has the Commonwealth or your department given any advice in relation to accepting that category?

Mr Robertson—The minister’s letter simply asked whether they would be prepared to, and pointed out some of the issues associated with vehicles that are of a very light weight and low power.

Senator MILNE—What were some of the issues that were pointed out to the states by the Commonwealth?

Mr Robertson—You do not have to point out too much, Senator, because they are pretty selfevident. The vehicles are low powered, travel at low speed and are lighter than a normal passenger vehicle. The issue really is whether the states and territories would be prepared to accept those vehicles for registration.

Senator MILNE—In terms of your other reference to golf buggies and the like, can you explain to me why there aren’t golf buggies on the streets of London when there are REVA cars on the streets of London, if the danger is that if you register this category that is what will occur?

Mr Robertson—No, Senator, I can’t explain. I am not aware of whether there are any vehicles of that nature on the streets of London. All I can say is that the states and territories do get regular requests, as I understand it, from people who do have such vehicles to use them on public roads occasionally—for example, if they are in a gated community and want to run down to the local shops, or something like that. Generally, those requests are resisted.

Senator MILNE—I think you can understand my concern here that there is a vast difference between the REVA car and a golf buggy in a whole lot of the features of the vehicles and safety standards. In the UK, Japan and Europe they register these vehicles and this category exists. They are on the road and yet they are being actively blocked here in Australia. I am trying to understand why that is occurring. Would you be prepared to table for this committee the advice in the letters that have gone to the states in relation to this vehicle, please?

Mr Mrdak [Mr Mike Mrdak, Deputy Secretary, Department of Transport and Regional Services]—We will take that up with the minister. It is a letter from the minister. We will need to seek his views as to whether he is prepared to have his correspondence tabled.

Senator MILNE—Would you also table any advice that your department has given to the states in relation to this matter? Can I also ask whether any correspondence has gone from your department by email or by letter to people, engineers and so on, who might be assessing the vehicle advising them not to proceed? Is that the case?

Mr Robertson—I am not aware of any email traffic or any other advice that tells people not to proceed.

Senator MILNE—Have you given any advice at all to anyone about whether or not this vehicle should go on the road?

Mr Robertson—My role is not to say whether or not the vehicle should go on the road. My role is to manage process, as is the minister’s. The issue before the minister was whether this category of vehicle should be accepted within Australian government legislation. He consulted his state and territory colleagues on whether they would support that, given that they would have to register the vehicle. Clearly, there is not much point creating a category that would facilitate the compliance of vehicles if they are not going to be registered. The responses were not supportive. That is simply what the process came down to.

Mr Mrdak—We will certainly take on notice providing copies of the minister’s letters to the states and any advice we have provided to the states. We will seek the minister’s views. I think the important point, as Mr Robertson is highlighting, is that these vehicles do not meet the existing Australian design rule categories because they do not meet particularly the frontal and side protection safety requirements of the ADRs. So they do need a separate category to be created. To this point the jurisdictions who register the vehicles have not been prepared to create that category for a lot of the reasons Senator O’Brien was asking about in relation to protection, speed and traffic mix and how they would operate. That is the view of the jurisdictions. At the end of the day in our federal system that is where the responsibility for registration and access to the road system lies.

Senator MILNE—Yes, I understand that perfectly but it has never been my impression that the UK government, the governments of Europe or the government of Japan accept lower safety standards for vehicles on their roads. They have created a category. They have created regulations around that category for where the vehicles can be used and how. I am simply asking: is it beyond the wit of Australian governments to do the same?

Mr Mrdak—I think the essence, as we have been explaining, is that, in accepting those categories, those governments have obviously accepted a lower degree of passenger safety in the operation of those vehicles than we and they require in design rules for higher category vehicles. They are important considerations for the Australian government in adopting such an additional category. The adoption of such a category, as Mr Robertson has indicated, in the absence of agreement from the states to register such vehicles would seem to serve no purpose.

Senator MILNE—I accept that. That is why I will wait to see what advice has been given in relation to it. But it strikes me as extraordinary that these vehicles are being given priority access on bus lanes and exemption from congestion tax. They are being given a huge subsidy by the Japanese government for their import into Japan but Australia cannot see its way clear. I will be interested to see the correspondence and that will not be the last we will hear of that.

Mr Mrdak—Certainly. Obviously those governments are making judgements in relation to how those vehicles fit within their traffic patterns and traffic flow and with the degree of safety requirements they are prepared to accept.

Senator MILNE—Precisely.

Mr Mrdak—Australian jurisdictions may well—and quite rightly—take a different view in relation to our community’s expectations of safety and traffic flow for these vehicles.

Senator MILNE—I would also be interested in the advice you have in relation to the number of accidents those vehicles have had where they have been registered. I would be very interested in knowing the basis of the claims on safety. I do not know how many of them have been involved in accidents in London, Tokyo and the like, but I would be very interested to know.

Mr Mrdak—We will take that on notice, but I am not aware that the department would have too much information on that.

Senator MILNE—Thank you.

Frankly any vehicle that can survive London traffic can survive ANY Australian traffic.

Mind you, the G-Wiz is a joke and its not worth fighting a battle over.

This inflexibility of the administration demonstrates beyond doubt that no preparations whatsoever will ever be done to mitigate the impact of peak oil. Peak oil will be "processed" by emails and moving files from the left side of the desk to the right, a natural flow of paper only to be disrupted occasionally by inquisitive Senators.

Because the REVA is a 4 wheeler it has to pass expensive DOT crash etc. tests , have air bags etc.

So in the US one can now buy a 4 door motorcycle ....

http://autos.groups.yahoo.com/group/Xebra_EV/

A Wuxi Water Taxi(electric). From our recent trip. We were told there are no motorbikes allowed in the inner ring of Wuxi. In all the cities we visited we saw extensive use of electric scooters. They cost around $450 U.S. and up new. (3200 RMB)

In Shanghai and Beijing the bicycle and the electric scooter are far from extinct. Quite the opposite. All varieties of vehicle share the road. To us we didn't see any evidence of traffic rules but of course there are lights and police helpers all over. We traveled a bunch and had tons of close calls but no contact.

Young folks seem to prioritize a condo or apartment then an electric scooter. We talked to several who said that traffic and expense were so severe that they would not even consider trying to buy a car. But of course there are plenty of those too. I read there are 55 injuries and 6 deaths per 100k due to vehicle accidents in Shanghai per year but then almost no one wears a helmet either.

The electric bike is far from a novelty. It is certainly now a mainstay of Chinese commerce as is the bicycle.

An HPV concrete coring rig (not electric). There were 4 with homemade business sign.

I have been riding an electrically assisted velomobile for about a year, and have put about 5500km on it. It's perfect for the cold and rainy weather here - for more info see:
http://www.bsustainable.ca
http://theyellowvelo.blogspot.com

* Which ones require dedicated parking spaces?
Unfortunately, cars are small enough and microcars big enough that it's impractical to do a simple 2-for-1 replacement without a lot of waste. So for parking, we should have 3 classes, which all use the same space:
Carspace:
Fits within (2.5mx7m), fits 1
Cyclespace:
Fits within (1.2m'x2.5m') horizontal, fits 5
Bikespace:
Fits within (0.3m'x1.8m') horizontal double-stacked, fits 20 after taking into account barriers.

For purposes of bike paths, bike-on-transit, bike lanes, etc - a "bike" is anything under 20kg (liftable by you) which fits in a bikespace and doesn't have an IC engine onboard (for sound and emissions purposes).

* Which ones should be allowed on main roads?
* Which ones could use an on-road bicycle lane amongst traffic?
* Which ones could use an off-road bicycle path in your local park?
To be allowed to use a road, you need to be capable of staying within 10mph of the speed limit - whether that is foot traffic or freeway traffic.

* Which ones should get free entry into congestion charging zones?
"Bikes" should get free entry, and motorcycles should pay 1/2 the car cost - but on that subject...

I don't like congestion charges. For inner cities with a functional mass transit system, IMO expensive licensing(which only taxis, delivery vehicles, limos, rich people, and carshares can justify) + limiting car access entirely works better. It incentivises a limited number of vehicles being used heavily within the city, instead of penalizing entry/exit from the city. Have most streets only be accessible via trolleybus/metro, taxi, or carshare, and you've got an inner city that's no longer dominated by parking and traffic and exhaust fumes - one which welcomes "bikes" and walking, and which has a taxi system cheap enough and fast enough that you wouldn't really feel the need for a car even with a sedentary lifestyle. Spend the money on a few dozen robotic parking garages at transit centers in the suburbs, and putting a trolleybus on every other street. Spend the cops that aren't metermaids any more on reducing crime.

* Which of these vehicle types do you think we should have more of?
* Which ones should be taxed, and which ones subsidised?
None. High, carbon-and-tariff burdened fuel taxes are adequate, without compromising flexible end-use or requiring education of clueless legislatures. That will decide what is practical in what situations and what is not, not me or my Congressmen.

_________________________________
To be allowed to use a road, you need to be capable of staying within 10mph of the speed limit - whether that is foot traffic or freeway traffic.
----------------------------------

That's a bad idea. You're wiping out almost all local residential bicycle trips! Most residential roads that I've seen have speed limits around 40kph to 60kph, and most cyclists can't maintain anywhere near those speeds.

Who do you think has a right to use the road? Only those who have access to a motorised vehicle?

If we're talking about changing all these other things... the speed limit system is not exactly set in stone.

The idea is simply that you never have an irritated, distracted driver be required to slow down by 30kph when they see a bike on the road, until they can pass it.

A bike lane or shoulder can have its own speed limit, as long as it's not holding up cars going 60kph. And it's entirely possible to have one full-sized lane of traffic limited to 60kph, one lane to 40kph, and one lane (say, the one you migrate the busses and bikes to) to 20kph.

I don't see the point for setting a speed limit on a bike lane. I've shared some bike lanes with motorbikes, and never felt threatened by them.

Three lanes with different speed limits might work fine when there are no intersections. But in a city, what happens when the cars want to turn left and the bikes and busses turn right? I think it would cause more trouble than it's worth.

I often "take the lane" (after looking behind, indicating, merging etc) to prevent drivers from trying to squeeze past unsafely. Examples would be in narrow-lane roundabouts, or next to a parked car door zone. Yes, drivers have to wait to pass me, but normally only for about 10 seconds or so. Then they have to wait behind the queue of cars at the next traffic light anyway! Not a big deal.

I occasionally ride a bike with a 500W electric hub motor. With my assistance it will run about 20-25MPH.

That has to be rather disconnected from reality.
I'm not bad and am good for about 350W PEAK and I'll do 25 MPH easily at less than 350W. The 500W rating has to be about 2x what the motor is really good for.

These sort of vehicles are fine for some parts of the world. Winter has already started up here - greasy days with slush, snow and snot (frozen slush) on the roads. Bike lanes are now a thing of summer with the sidewalk plow and road plows filling them with snow and snot.

We have a car to get the kids / family around town. Renting a car to go outside of town is feasable - the issue is what to do in town. We've used the bus but most often make due with walking or, if it's close, everyone takes a bike.

Batteries will be a real issue with PEVs. -20C and -30C is hell on batteries in the winter (lead acid, gel cell, NiCd) never mind the salt / slush. If I get 2 years out of a winter bike I'm doing well. Cables, chains, bearings pretty well need to be replaced on a yearly basis.

Step #1 needs to be ditching personal transportation and changing our lives so that they don't depend upon it.

Step #0 would be a 1 child policy for those of us in the west. We've overshot and need to deal with it.

I don't want to think of the vast quantities of batteries and their toxic chemicals.

A friend just moved from a "co-op" housing community in town where their children could step out the door and find other kids to play with; to living in a community where they are in a suburb island connected to a major highly upon which bicycles are banned. The kids can't even legally bike to school!

Probably reality. There is two issues. 1) You aren't pushing an electric motor and the batteries to power it. That's a serious weight handicap. 2) The 500W electric motor is probably geared to go 20-25mph on the straightaway. They could gear it to go faster on the flats but then it would suck on the hills. 3) Legal ramifications if the electric bike went faster than 20mph without pedalling. Then it is legally a moped.

I occasionally ride a bike with a 500W electric hub motor. With my assistance it will run about 20-25MPH.

That has to be rather disconnected from reality.
I'm not bad and am good for about 350W PEAK and I'll do 25 MPH easily at less than 350W. The 500W rating has to be about 2x what the motor is really good for.

I haven't measured the power output. However, power does not necessarily indicate maximum speed. It could be that the brushless controller I am using cannot operate effectively at the higher frequencies, or it could be artificially limited to that speed in order to allow the motor to comply with regulations common in the US that require electric bicycles to stay below a certain speed. Also, I'm riding a heavy mountain bike with the typical 2.5 inch knobby tires, I suspect that these require more power than smaller street tires would.

It doesn't matter much to me, it accelerates quickly and even without assistance is perilously fast for most of the bike trails here. The extra acceleration makes handling four-way stops much nicer. I take the lane at intersections, regardless of how much traffic there is. When it is my turn the motor makes my acceleration through the intersection comparable to that of other small vehicles, without requiring me to sprint.

Why the focus on bicycles that rely on other inputs beside direct human movement?

I am nearly 40 and cycle 10,000km per annum unassisted. I own both a road bike (skinny tyres, light frame) and a hybrid, (fatter tyres, heavier frame).

A reasonably fit adult can cycle up until very old age. If you need to carry loads, suitable trailers are possible, you are going to travel more slowly, but it is still faster than walking.

I don't see the need for everyone to travel at average speeds of 30km/h+. Why do we need the added complexity and weight of an external power source rigged to a bike, when a human that sits on it, can easily supply a sustainable power output of 50W-200W+, (for a commute of an hour) depending on fitness.

Why the focus on bicycles that rely on other inputs beside direct human movement?

If we all lived where we work, we wouldn't. Today many of us would like to reduce our footprint by commuting by bicycle, but the distance is a bit too much. We also find that most offices are not equipped with showers or facilities appropriate to a quick sponge bath that many find necessary after a bicycle commute.

A motor lets many more people get into bicycling now, because it reduces some of the problems associated with cycling (not the least of which is our typically mushy physical condition) More bike commuters, faster adoption of polices that favor bike commuters.

For most of us, 100W is enough to get you sweating - and get to work looking and smelling like you just came from the gym. For three months a year it produces frostbite. Every four days or so, you do it in the rain, wind, and tire spray, and get to look like you got dropped in the gutter as well.

Bikes (and cars) need to waste a lot of brake energy and spend a lot of time accelerating to move in traffic, can't move quickly on sometimes crowded, sometimes nonexistent sidewalks, put themselves in danger when doing so on streets with little shoulder and drivers who hate them, and often need to travel quite a ways. A 100 mile commute (50 of that through traffic) is not unheard of where I live currently.

For most of us, 100W is enough to get you sweating - and get to work looking and smelling like you just came from the gym. For three months a year it produces frostbite. Every four days or so, you do it in the rain, wind, and tire spray, and get to look like you got dropped in the gutter as well.

I might be some sort of freak, I have commuted to work on a bicycle for over 10 years. I don't ride at snail pace, I take the opportunity to use my commute as a training run and often arrived to work drenched in sweat. At most workplaces I have been employed there were no shower facilities, even when I had them, I often had no time to wait for my turn, so judicious use of deodorant has been the only option. To make things worse for all those clean freaks out there:
I don't even shower every day!
I took with me one set of work clothes on a Monday (including underwear and socks!!!!) for the whole week

As a society, we are fixated on personal hygiene habits that will have no place in the future.

Commutes of 20km (12.4 miles) each way is easily manageable as far as fitness and time goes (given time and confidence to build fitness and appropriate cycling commuting skills.) and 30km (18.6 miles) is manageable for most adults, especially if you need to keep your job!

Also note I live in Melbourne, Australia. Winters might be cold but it doesn't snow and there are only a few mornings of frost each year. This allows for year round cycling.

There is also the issue of distance from the workplace, perhaps Melbourne is quite different from typical US cities, but I would say that over 2/3 of my work colleagues in all the workplaces I have been have commutes under 30km, and half under 20km.

What he said. Although I do shower every day at home :-)

Rich western countries over the last 50 years are the exception, not the norm. Look at most of the "developing" world, they ride bikes to work in normal clothes, don't have showers, and life carries on. This is also the way in Germany, Denmark, Netherlands etc.

For most of us, 100W is enough to get you sweating - and get to work looking and smelling like you just came from the gym. For three months a year it produces frostbite. Every four days or so, you do it in the rain, wind, and tire spray, and get to look like you got dropped in the gutter as well.

Frostbite or worse. Where I live, large snowfalls are relatively rare, but 1-3" is a regular occurrence for four months of the year, and on a bike that much snow leaves you an accident looking for a place to happen. Morning commute temps in the single digits (F) or below are quite common for three months -- sustained heavy breathing at those temps is a health risk for many people. 15-25 MPH wind to go with those is common, and gusts as high as 60-75 happen from time to time.

OTOH, wind resources in the winter and solar in the summer are probably more than adequate to power electric commuter cars suitable for most people.

I rode to work today. Only 4 km, but the wind chill was about 15 F. In this town there are exactly 2 bike lanes, which are about 3 blocks long, few bike racks and narrow, poorly maintained streets. The infrastructure in many cities needs an overhaul before cycling is an alternative for a large number of people. It's just too much of an auto-centric world we've created. Also, most people aren't as amazingly tough as me :)

Another problem: kids. How do you take kids to school? If they are over 30 pounds you can't put them in a trailer.

If memory serves (40 years ago) in my high
school of 3500 exactly one girl was driven to
class. Very special circumstances, daughter of
big mafioso. In grade school I'm fairly sure
everyone walked, biked, or took the bus.
Some problems are solved, some are created,
some are imaginary

Yes, the auto-centric world is the problem.

Why can't you put kids over 30 pounds in a trailer? I've towed two kids in a trailer. Then there are more exotic vehicles such as this (large PDF warning):
www.velovision.com/mag/issue9/8freight.pdf
I've taken a baby in a car capsule in something like this.

Then there are the Dutch Bakfiets, even available in the USA:
http://www.dutchbikes.us/cargo.html
http://www.bakfiets.nl/eng/models.php

Then for older kids there are the "tag-along" things where the kid has an extra wheel, seat, handlebars etc attached to the adult's bike.

They have already worked out the answers to these problems in Europe.

Check these out for carting the kids around...

http://www.workcycles.com/workbike/bicycles/child-transport-bikes.html

And these for work...

http://www.cyclesmaximus.com/cargotrike.htm
http://www.workcycles.com/workbike/bicycles/gustav-w-transport-bicycles/...

the same people who will laugh at Australians and Americans who start riding these now will be asking us where they can get one when it costs them upwards of $200 to fill up their F150's.

I've been riding bikes since I was a kid and still enjoy it tremendously, so long as I am not having to ride along a main highway with crazy drivers driving at crazy speeds. For riding along bike trails and along sleepy streets in a small town setting they are great. They produce almost no greenhouse gases (depending on the beans eaten) and are quite energy efficient - lots of miles to the kilocalorie. What I would truly like to see are more dedicated bike lanes or ideally, where practical, separate parallel bike 'paths' alongside main arteries where bicyclists can ride safely. The problem is safety. One would get ran over on most of the roads in Madison, Alabama or many other small cities because they do not have facilities for bicycles and drivers don't generally like sharing lanes with bicyclists. I was quite impressed with Colorado's excellent bike highways. Yes, totally dedicated two lane bicycle highways - in many cases with underpasses under major highways so one need not risk life and limb to cross a major highway. If cities and small towns would provide more facilities for bicyclists then riding bikes to work, grocery, church, etc. would be more realistic. For now, in most cases, you are taking a big risk competing with cars and big trucks on busy, narrow highways. People don't ride because the infrastructure to accommodate safe cycling isn't there. With peak oil upon us it's time I believe that government start taking action to provide more dedicated bike routes. I also love the thought of plug-in hybrid bicycles (hybrid in this case means either leg power or electric power). I could charge mine from my solar panel! If anyone can suggest a good place to purchase one of these at an affordable price, I'd be interested!
Daniel Draffen

I have a more important question about electric bicycles: Why do a $60 200W electric motor and a $60 lead acid battery with $10 of chains and metal bits together cost $1,000?

Until someone can explain that to me, I'll be on the train or walking.

It's very probably called "profit motive."

100% markup is common in retail outlets, 400% in pawn shops. 1,000% and more are usually reserved for transnationals, eg Nike.

$200 or even $400 I could see, but $1,000 is ridiculous.